Football · France Ligue 2 · 21/11, 20:00

Prediction: Reims vs St Etienne

Team pages: Reims · St Etienne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Reims1.19

St Etienne1.56

1X2

28% 28% 45%

Reims Draw St Etienne

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Reims 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDDWDWL

St Etienne 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Reims 3–3 St Etienne (6 last)

Reims1-0St Etienne
St Etienne3-2Reims
Reims0-2St Etienne
St Etienne3-1Reims
St Etienne1-2Reims
Reims2-0St Etienne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reims 1568 · St Etienne 1546

	Reims	Draw	St Etienne
Our model	28%	27%	45%
Market	28%	28%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reims	St Etienne
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.7	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.20

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.43 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.41
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:31 +2’	3.20	3.20	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +8’	3.43	3.41	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Reims 3–0–3 St Etienne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 France Ligue 2	Reims	1-0 HT 0-0	St Etienne
20/09/25 France Ligue 2	St Etienne	3-2 HT 2-1	Reims
10/05/25 France Ligue 1	Reims	0-2 HT 0-2	St Etienne
04/01/25 France Ligue 1	St Etienne	3-1 HT 0-1	Reims
14/05/22 France Ligue 1	St Etienne	1-2 HT 1-1	Reims
11/12/21 France Ligue 1	Reims	2-0 HT 1-0	St Etienne

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	12	9	1	2	25	11	28
2	Nancy	12	8	1	3	17	9	25
3	Montpellier	12	7	3	2	18	9	24
4	Reims	12	5	6	1	24	15	21
5	Pau	12	6	2	4	16	13	20
6	Dijon	12	5	3	4	21	19	18
7	Metz	12	4	5	3	20	19	17
8	Red Star FC 93	12	5	2	5	14	17	17
9	Annecy	12	5	1	6	14	18	16
10	Dunkerque	12	4	3	5	17	17	15
11	Guingamp	12	4	2	6	16	18	14
12	Boulogne	12	2	7	3	10	8	13
13	Rodez Aveyron	12	4	1	7	17	23	13
14	Nantes	12	3	3	6	14	18	12
15	Clermont Foot	12	1	8	3	11	15	11
16	Sochaux	12	2	5	5	8	15	11
17	Grenoble	12	3	2	7	13	22	11
18	Laval	12	2	3	7	14	23	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reims	St Etienne
Grenoble	2-3 L	4-0 W
Dijon	4-2 W	3-2 W
Nantes	0-0 D	1-0 W
Montpellier	1-1 D	3-1 W
Guingamp	2-2 D	0-3 L
Red Star FC 93	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reims

WWDWDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Grenoble France Ligue 2	1-2	2-3	8	3	L
02/11	Sochaux France Ligue 2	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/10	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
16/10	Dijon France Ligue 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
10/10	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
18/09	Montpellier France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
11/09	Nancy France Ligue 2	2-0	2-1	0	3	W
05/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	0	2	D
29/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
24/08	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	3-1	4	0	W

St Etienne

WWWLDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Laval France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
31/10	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-1	0-3	11	5	L
24/10	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
17/10	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/10	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
19/09	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
12/09	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
05/09	Montpellier France Ligue 2	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
31/08	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/08	Grenoble France Ligue 2	3-0	4-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reims vs St Etienne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an St Etienne win (45%). Probabilities: Reims 28%, draw 28%, St Etienne 45%.

How many goals are expected in Reims vs St Etienne?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Reims 1.19 · St Etienne 1.56), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Reims vs St Etienne?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.