Football · Denmark Division 1 · 20/11, 19:00

Prediction: Kolding IF vs AaB

Team pages: Kolding IF · AaB

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Kolding IF1.41
AaB1.54
1X2
34% 27% 40%
Kolding IF Draw AaB
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kolding IF 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DWLDDDWLWL
AaB 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
LDWDDDLLDD
Head-to-head
Kolding IF 2–2–2 AaB (6 last)
  • AaB1-1Kolding IF
  • AaB0-3Kolding IF
  • Kolding IF1-0AaB
  • Kolding IF2-3AaB
  • AaB3-3Kolding IF
  • Kolding IF0-1AaB
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kolding IF 1507 · AaB 1466
Kolding IFDrawAaB
Our model34%27%40%
Market34%27%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kolding IF (rating 1507 vs 1466).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kolding IFAaB
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.41.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 42.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolding IF 2–2–2 AaB

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Denmark Division 1
AaB1-1
HT 1-0
Kolding IF
22/11/25
Denmark Division 1
AaB0-3
HT 0-1
Kolding IF
19/07/25
Denmark Division 1
Kolding IF1-0
HT 0-0
AaB
24/05/24
Denmark Division 1
Kolding IF2-3
HT 1-1
AaB
21/04/24
Denmark Division 1
AaB3-3
HT 1-2
Kolding IF
28/10/23
Denmark Division 1
Kolding IF0-1
HT 0-1
AaB

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hvidovre IF 14950 271332
2 Vejle 14761 261627
3 FC Fredericia 14653 211023
4 AB Copenhagen 14635 211521
5 Aarhus Fremad 14464 121418
6 AaB 14374 171916
7 Hobro IK 14446 162416
8 Hillerød 14437 182115
9 Kolding IF 14365 172015
10 Esbjerg 14356 172414
11 HB Køge 14266 202612
12 Vendsyssel FF 14266 142412

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKolding IFAaB
Hillerød 1-3 L 1-2 L
HB Køge 3-2 W 1-1 D
AB Copenhagen 0-1 L 2-0 W
Vendsyssel FF 2-1 W 2-2 D
Hobro IK 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kolding IF

DWLDDDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-3 47 L
31/10 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-1 3-2 52 W
24/10 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-1 21 L
16/10 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
0-0 2-1 61 W
10/10 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-1 45 D
18/09 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 62 D
12/09 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
06/09 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-2 36 L
29/08 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-0 2-1 42 W
23/08 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-2 2-2 20 D

AaB

LDWDDDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-1 76 D
30/10 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
1-1 1-1 12 D
24/10 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
1-1 1-2 56 L
17/10 Vejle
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 43 L
10/10 Esbjerg
Denmark Division 1
2-2 3-3 61 D
20/09 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-2 64 D
12/09 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
2-1 2-2 23 D
05/09 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-0 56 W
29/08 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-0 73 D
21/08 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kolding IF vs AaB?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AaB win (40%). Probabilities: Kolding IF 34%, draw 27%, AaB 40%.

How many goals are expected in Kolding IF vs AaB?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Kolding IF 1.41 · AaB 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kolding IF vs AaB?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.