Football · Scotland League One · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Ross County vs Cove Rangers

Team pages: Ross County · Cove Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Ross County2.47
Cove Rangers0.91
1X2
71% 18% 11%
Ross County Draw Cove Rangers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Ross County 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
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Cove Rangers 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLLDLWWW
Head-to-head
Ross County 2–0 Cove Rangers (2 last)
  • Cove Rangers0-2Ross County
  • Ross County7-0Cove Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ross County 1641 · Cove Rangers 1545
Ross CountyDrawCove Rangers
Our model71%18%11%
Market71%18%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ross County (rating 1641 vs 1545).
  • H2H favours Ross County: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ross CountyCove Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)3.9 / 0.61.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.9 / 0.20.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/20/0%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 6.32 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ross County 2–0–0 Cove Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/09/26
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers0-2
HT 0-1
Ross County
30/07/16
Scotland League Cup
Ross County7-0
HT 1-0
Cove Rangers

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 151320 511041
2 Hamilton 151032 281233
3 East Kilbride 14734 271924
4 Montrose 15627 192620
5 Airdrieonians 15546 152219
6 East Fife 15465 141718
7 Cove Rangers 14437 171815
8 Peterhead 154110 122613
9 Queen of South 154110 144013
10 Alloa 15339 162312

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRoss CountyCove Rangers
Hamilton 2-1 W 4-0 W
Peterhead 4-1 W 0-2 L
Airdrieonians 4-0 W 1-0 W
Queen of South 7-1 W 3-4 L
Montrose 5-0 W 3-0 W
Alloa 4-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 6 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ross County (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ross County

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/11 Hamilton
Scotland League One
1-1 2-1 211 W
07/11 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 4-1 117 W
31/10 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 44 W
27/10 Hamilton
Scotland League One
1-1 1-1 102 D
24/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
3-0 4-0 62 W
17/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
5-0 7-1 56 W
10/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
3-0 5-0 85 W
03/10 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 4-1 75 W
19/09 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
1-0 2-0 35 W
15/09 Queen of South
Scotland League One
2-0 8-0 74 W

Cove Rangers

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/11 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-0 3-0 23 W
07/11 Hamilton
Scotland League One
1-0 4-0 13 W
31/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-0 1-0 53 W
17/10 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 56 L
10/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 45 D
03/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-2 3-4 76 L
19/09 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 45 L
12/09 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 40 L
05/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 46 D
29/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ross County vs Cove Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ross County win (71%). Probabilities: Ross County 71%, draw 18%, Cove Rangers 11%.

How many goals are expected in Ross County vs Cove Rangers?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Ross County 2.47 · Cove Rangers 0.91), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ross County vs Cove Rangers?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.