Football · Denmark Superligaen · 22/11, 16:00

Prediction: Sonderjyske vs Odense BK

Team pages: Sonderjyske · Odense BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Sonderjyske1.55

Odense BK1.74

1X2

33% 25% 41%

Sonderjyske Draw Odense BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sonderjyske 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLWLLD

Odense BK 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDWDWL

Head-to-head

Sonderjyske 2–2–2 Odense BK (6 last)

Odense BK1-0Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske1-0Odense BK
Odense BK1-1Sonderjyske
Odense BK0-2Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske2-3Odense BK
Odense BK1-1Sonderjyske

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sonderjyske 1454 · Odense BK 1513

	Sonderjyske	Draw	Odense BK
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Odense BK (rating 1454 vs 1513).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sonderjyske	Odense BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.6	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.87
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.88 ★
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.27

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +3’	2.80	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +8’	2.87	3.88	2.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonderjyske 2–2–2 Odense BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	1-0 HT 0-0	Sonderjyske
01/03/26 Denmark Superligaen	Sonderjyske	1-0 HT 1-0	Odense BK
03/10/25 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	1-1 HT 1-0	Sonderjyske
26/06/25 Europe Friendlies	Odense BK	0-2 HT 0-1	Sonderjyske
10/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Sonderjyske	2-3 HT 0-0	Odense BK
15/05/22 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	1-1 HT 0-1	Sonderjyske

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	14	10	2	2	29	12	32
2	Midtjylland	14	9	5	0	29	17	32
3	Viborg	14	8	2	4	22	13	26
4	FC Nordsjaelland	14	6	5	3	26	18	23
5	Brondby	14	7	1	6	23	21	22
6	Odense BK	14	4	5	5	16	19	17
7	AC Horsens	14	4	4	6	23	23	16
8	AGF Aarhus	14	3	6	5	19	21	15
9	Silkeborg IF	14	3	6	5	18	24	15
10	Lyngby	14	2	5	7	19	29	11
11	Randers FC	14	3	2	9	14	27	11
12	Sonderjyske	14	2	3	9	19	33	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sonderjyske	Odense BK
Midtjylland	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Copenhagen	0-2 L	1-1 D
Silkeborg IF	4-0 W	4-1 W
AGF Aarhus	0-3 L	2-2 D
Randers FC	4-2 W	2-1 W
Lyngby	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Nordsjaelland	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 5 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Odense BK (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sonderjyske

LLLDWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
02/11	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
25/10	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
18/10	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	9	3	W
12/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-3	7	1	L
20/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	2-1	4-2	4	3	W
13/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
06/09	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-2	2-5	1	7	L
31/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
23/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-3	6	4	L

Odense BK

DDLWDDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-2	2	2	L
01/11	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	1-1	4-1	10	3	W
26/10	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
18/10	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
09/10	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
19/09	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
13/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-1	11	4	W
06/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
30/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
23/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-1	2-2	0	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sonderjyske vs Odense BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Odense BK win (41%). Probabilities: Sonderjyske 33%, draw 25%, Odense BK 41%.

How many goals are expected in Sonderjyske vs Odense BK?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Sonderjyske 1.55 · Odense BK 1.74), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sonderjyske vs Odense BK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.