Prediction: US Quevilly vs Valenciennes
Team pages: US Quevilly · Valenciennes
- US Quevilly3-2Valenciennes
- Valenciennes2-0US Quevilly
- Valenciennes1-0US Quevilly
- Valenciennes0-0US Quevilly
- US Quevilly2-0Valenciennes
- Valenciennes2-1US Quevilly
| US Quevilly | Draw | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Quevilly (rating 1536 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Valenciennes: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Quevilly | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Quevilly 2–1–3 Valenciennes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 France Ligue 3 | US Quevilly | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Valenciennes |
| 31/10/25 France Ligue 3 | Valenciennes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | US Quevilly |
| 12/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Valenciennes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | US Quevilly |
| 11/04/25 France Ligue 3 | Valenciennes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Quevilly |
| 22/11/24 France Ligue 3 | US Quevilly | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Valenciennes |
| 10/05/24 France Ligue 2 | Valenciennes | 2-1 HT 2-0 | US Quevilly |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | US Quevilly | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| US Orleans 45 | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Cannes | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Amiens | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Versailles 78 | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Le Puy | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| La Roche VF | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| FC Fleury 91 | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Rouen | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: US Quevilly (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Quevilly
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 20/08 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
Valenciennes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 31/10 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | La Roche VF France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/09 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Quevilly vs Valenciennes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Valenciennes win (40%). Probabilities: US Quevilly 32%, draw 28%, Valenciennes 40%.
How many goals are expected in US Quevilly vs Valenciennes?
The model expects 2.77 goals (US Quevilly 1.29 · Valenciennes 1.48), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in US Quevilly vs Valenciennes?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.