Football · Germany Bundesliga I · 21/11, 15:30

Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim

Team pages: Eintracht Frankfurt · TSG Hoffenheim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

Eintracht Frankfurt2.03

TSG Hoffenheim1.91

1X2

41% 23% 36%

Eintracht Frankfurt Draw TSG Hoffenheim

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Eintracht Frankfurt 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWDLWLWD

TSG Hoffenheim 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1–1 TSG Hoffenheim (6 last)

Eintracht Frankfurt1-3TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim1-3Eintracht Frankfurt
TSG Hoffenheim2-2Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt3-1TSG Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt3-1TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim1-3Eintracht Frankfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eintracht Frankfurt 1514 · TSG Hoffenheim 1501

	Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	TSG Hoffenheim
Our model	41%	22%	36%
Market	41%	23%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eintracht Frankfurt: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eintracht Frankfurt	TSG Hoffenheim
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.1	2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.32
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.83 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 3.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:17 +6’	2.30	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:20 +4’	2.32	3.95	2.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1–1 TSG Hoffenheim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-3 HT 1-0	TSG Hoffenheim
30/08/25 Germany Bundesliga I	TSG Hoffenheim	1-3 HT 0-2	Eintracht Frankfurt
26/01/25 Germany Bundesliga I	TSG Hoffenheim	2-2 HT 0-1	Eintracht Frankfurt
31/08/24 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	3-1 HT 2-0	TSG Hoffenheim
10/03/24 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	3-1 HT 1-1	TSG Hoffenheim
21/10/23 Germany Bundesliga I	TSG Hoffenheim	1-3 HT 1-3	Eintracht Frankfurt

Standings · Germany Bundesliga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	9	6	3	0	29	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	6	3	0	16	7	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	6	1	2	20	10	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	6	0	3	27	13	18
5	Bayer Leverkusen	9	5	1	3	20	17	16
6	Werder Bremen	9	4	3	2	17	15	15
7	Elversberg	9	4	1	4	17	18	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	4	0	5	15	15	12
9	TSG Hoffenheim	9	4	0	5	16	17	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	3	3	3	15	20	12
11	Hamburg	9	4	0	5	10	20	12
12	Mainz	9	3	1	5	18	19	10
13	Paderborn	9	2	4	3	8	11	10
14	Augsburg	9	2	3	4	20	20	9
15	Cologne	9	2	3	4	10	14	9
16	Union Berlin	9	1	4	4	7	21	7
17	Schalke	9	1	3	5	5	11	6
18	Borussia M'gladbach	9	1	1	7	12	25	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eintracht Frankfurt	TSG Hoffenheim
Paderborn	2-2 D	1-3 L
Hamburg	3-1 W	2-3 L
Borussia Dortmund	0-1 L	2-3 L
Cologne	1-0 W	2-3 L
VfB Stuttgart	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Eintracht Frankfurt (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eintracht Frankfurt

DDLWDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Paderborn Germany Bundesliga I	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
01/11	Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I	1-1	3-1	6	6	W
24/10	Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
16/10	Cologne Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
10/10	RB Leipzig Germany Bundesliga I	0-4	0-6	6	4	L
19/09	SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Mainz Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
06/09	Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	1-4	9	2	L
29/08	Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I	2-1	3-3	2	6	D
16/05	VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I	0-2	2-2	6	5	D

TSG Hoffenheim

LLLWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Schalke Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	2-1	6	1	W
31/10	Werder Bremen Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
25/10	Bayer Leverkusen Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	3-0	5	7	W
18/10	Borussia M'gladbach Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
10/10	Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
20/09	Paderborn Germany Bundesliga I	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
12/09	VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
05/09	Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	2-3	10	6	L
29/08	Cologne Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	2-3	7	2	L
16/05	Borussia M'gladbach Germany Bundesliga I	0-2	0-4	9	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eintracht Frankfurt win (41%). Probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 41%, draw 23%, TSG Hoffenheim 36%.

How many goals are expected in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?

The model expects 3.94 goals (Eintracht Frankfurt 2.03 · TSG Hoffenheim 1.91), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.