Football · Belgium First Division A · 22/11, 13:30
Prediction: SK Beveren vs Gent
Team pages: SK Beveren · Gent
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
SK Beveren1.17
Gent1.61
1X2
SK Beveren
Draw
Gent
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
SK Beveren
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Gent
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Beveren
1–5
Gent
(6 last)
- Gent3-0SK Beveren
- SK Beveren1-4Gent
- Gent2-0SK Beveren
- SK Beveren2-1Gent
- Gent4-1SK Beveren
- SK Beveren1-2Gent
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Beveren 1470 · Gent 1570
| SK Beveren | Draw | Gent | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gent (rating 1470 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Gent: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Beveren | Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Beveren 1–0–5 Gent
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/20 Belgium First Division A | Gent | 3-0 HT 1-0 | SK Beveren |
| 01/11/20 Belgium First Division A | SK Beveren | 1-4 HT 0-4 | Gent |
| 19/10/19 Belgium First Division A | Gent | 2-0 HT 1-0 | SK Beveren |
| 16/02/19 Belgium First Division A | SK Beveren | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gent |
| 12/08/18 Belgium First Division A | Gent | 4-1 HT 1-0 | SK Beveren |
| 24/02/18 Belgium First Division A | SK Beveren | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Gent |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Gent | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Lommel | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | 14 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
| 12 | Sint-Truidense | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 11 |
| 14 | Zulte-Waregem | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 9 |
| 17 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Beveren | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Lommel | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| KV Kortrijk | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| OH Leuven | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Genk | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Zulte-Waregem | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Anderlecht | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gent (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Beveren
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/10 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
Gent
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 03/09 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Beveren vs Gent?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gent win (47%). Probabilities: SK Beveren 27%, draw 27%, Gent 47%.
How many goals are expected in SK Beveren vs Gent?
The model expects 2.79 goals (SK Beveren 1.17 · Gent 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Beveren vs Gent?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.