Football · Austria Bundesliga · 22/11, 14:30

Prediction: Wolfsberger AC vs SV Ried

Team pages: Wolfsberger AC · SV Ried

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Wolfsberger AC1.28

SV Ried1.44

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Wolfsberger AC Draw SV Ried

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wolfsberger AC 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLDL

SV Ried 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWWDDL

Head-to-head

Wolfsberger AC 1–1–4 SV Ried (6 last)

SV Ried4-1Wolfsberger AC
SV Ried2-1Wolfsberger AC
SV Ried0-1Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC0-0SV Ried
SV Ried1-0Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-2SV Ried

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolfsberger AC 1404 · SV Ried 1519

	Wolfsberger AC	Draw	SV Ried
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Ried (rating 1404 vs 1519).
H2H favours SV Ried: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wolfsberger AC	SV Ried
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 2.5	1.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.70

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.76
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.93 ★
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:13	2.75	3.70	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:05 +9’	2.76	3.93	2.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsberger AC 1–1–4 SV Ried

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	4-1 HT 3-0	Wolfsberger AC
19/05/26 Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs	SV Ried	2-1 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
09/05/26 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	0-1 HT 0-1	Wolfsberger AC
11/04/26 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Ried
29/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	SV Ried	1-0 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
18/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-2 HT 1-0	SV Ried

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	12	11	0	1	39	9	33
2	FC Salzburg	12	9	3	0	33	9	30
3	LASK Linz	12	8	1	3	30	15	25
4	Hartberg	12	6	2	4	23	19	20
5	SK Sturm Graz	12	5	4	3	22	17	19
6	SV Ried	12	4	4	4	21	22	16
7	WSG Swarovski Tirol	12	3	4	5	15	18	13
8	Austria Lustenau	12	3	2	7	15	30	11
9	Grazer AK	12	2	4	6	9	29	10
10	SCR Altach	12	3	1	8	11	20	10
11	FK Austria Vienna	12	2	2	8	11	23	8
12	Wolfsberger AC	12	1	3	8	8	26	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wolfsberger AC	SV Ried
SK Sturm Graz	1-1 D	2-2 D
Hartberg	0-1 L	2-3 L
WSG Swarovski Tirol	0-2 L	2-1 W
SCR Altach	0-3 L	1-1 D
LASK Linz	1-3 L	2-4 L
Grazer AK	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Ried (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolfsberger AC

LDLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-6	3	3	L
01/11	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
24/10	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
18/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
11/10	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
20/09	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-4	9	7	L
12/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	1	6	L
01/09	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-3	1	5	L
29/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L

SV Ried

LWLDWWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	2-2	2-4	4	1	L
31/10	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
25/10	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
17/10	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
10/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
20/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	3-0	4-1	0	7	W
11/09	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-2	2-3	4	3	L
21/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
14/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-3	1-4	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolfsberger AC vs SV Ried?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Ried win (41%). Probabilities: Wolfsberger AC 33%, draw 26%, SV Ried 41%.

How many goals are expected in Wolfsberger AC vs SV Ried?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Wolfsberger AC 1.28 · SV Ried 1.44), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs SV Ried?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.