Football · England League 1 · 21/11, 16:00
Prediction: Bradford vs Doncaster
Team pages: Bradford · Doncaster
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Bradford1.7
Doncaster0.86
1X2
Bradford
Draw
Doncaster
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Bradford
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Doncaster
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bradford
1–1–4
Doncaster
(6 last)
- Bradford1-0Doncaster
- Doncaster3-1Bradford
- Doncaster3-1Bradford
- Doncaster2-1Bradford
- Bradford1-2Doncaster
- Bradford1-1Doncaster
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bradford 1579 · Doncaster 1475
| Bradford | Draw | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bradford (rating 1579 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Doncaster: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bradford | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.6 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bradford 1–1–4 Doncaster
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England League 1 | Bradford | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 11/11/25 England EFL Trophy | Doncaster | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Bradford |
| 06/09/25 England League 1 | Doncaster | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Bradford |
| 26/04/25 England League 2 | Doncaster | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bradford |
| 26/10/24 England League 2 | Bradford | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 05/03/24 England League 2 | Bradford | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Doncaster |
Standings · England League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheff Wed | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bradford | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Luton | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Notts County | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bradford (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bradford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/10 | Oxford Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 20/10 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Reading England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Luton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
Doncaster
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/10 | Luton England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/10 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bradford vs Doncaster?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bradford win (57%). Probabilities: Bradford 57%, draw 25%, Doncaster 18%.
How many goals are expected in Bradford vs Doncaster?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Bradford 1.7 · Doncaster 0.86), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bradford vs Doncaster?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.