Football · England National League · 21/11, 13:30

Prediction: Solihull Moors vs Altrincham

Team pages: Solihull Moors · Altrincham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Solihull Moors1.54

Altrincham1.7

1X2

34% 25% 41%

Solihull Moors Draw Altrincham

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Solihull Moors 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLWWW

Altrincham 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWDLL

Head-to-head

Solihull Moors 1–4–1 Altrincham (6 last)

Solihull Moors1-0Altrincham
Altrincham2-0Solihull Moors
Altrincham1-1Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors3-3Altrincham
Solihull Moors2-2Altrincham
Altrincham1-1Solihull Moors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Solihull Moors 1521 · Altrincham 1531

	Solihull Moors	Draw	Altrincham
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Solihull Moors	Altrincham
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.6	3.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 2.76
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.81 ★
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.29

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:00 +19’	2.70	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +10’	2.88	3.81	2.22
02:08 +7’	2.76▼	3.81	2.29▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Solihull Moors 1–4–1 Altrincham

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England National League	Solihull Moors	1-0 HT 1-0	Altrincham
25/08/25 England National League	Altrincham	2-0 HT 1-0	Solihull Moors
25/03/25 England National League	Altrincham	1-1 HT 1-0	Solihull Moors
09/11/24 England National League	Solihull Moors	3-3 HT 2-0	Altrincham
15/10/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Solihull Moors	2-2 HT 1-1	Altrincham
12/10/24 England FA Cup Qualification	Altrincham	1-1 HT 1-0	Solihull Moors

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	17	14	3	0	46	19	45
2	Harrogate Town	17	11	2	4	38	23	35
3	Southend	17	9	5	3	40	28	32
4	AFC Fylde	17	10	2	5	32	25	32
5	Yeovil	17	8	5	4	37	22	29
6	Carlisle	17	8	5	4	34	23	29
7	Worthing	17	8	5	4	33	26	29
8	Barrow	16	8	4	4	29	19	28
9	Altrincham	17	9	1	7	24	28	28
10	Halifax	17	7	4	6	29	21	25
11	Sutton Utd	17	7	3	7	20	23	24
12	AFC Hornchurch	17	8	0	9	20	27	24
13	Kidderminster	17	5	7	5	18	17	22
14	Woking	16	6	3	7	25	24	21
15	Aldershot	17	6	3	8	20	21	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
17	Wealdstone	17	5	4	8	24	30	19
18	Eastleigh	17	5	4	8	20	27	19
19	Boston Utd	17	5	3	9	21	31	18
20	Tamworth	16	5	2	9	26	34	17
21	Hartlepool	17	5	1	11	19	28	16
22	Solihull Moors	17	5	1	11	21	40	16
23	Scunthorpe	16	3	2	11	20	31	11
24	Gateshead	16	1	1	14	9	37	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Solihull Moors	Altrincham
Kidderminster	2-1 W	0-0 D
Carlisle	1-2 L	2-4 L
Boreham Wood	0-3 L	1-3 L
Yeovil	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Solihull Moors

WLLWLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/10	Kidderminster England National League	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
27/10	Wealdstone England National League	2-0	3-2	1	2	W
24/10	Carlisle England National League	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
10/10	Worthing England National League	0-3	0-5	7	1	L
03/10	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
29/09	Woking England National League	3-2	4-2	1	6	W
26/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
18/09	Yeovil England National League	0-1	1-4	1	4	L
15/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Altrincham

WWWWLWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Harrogate Town England National League	0-0	0-4	2	4	L
31/10	Carlisle England National League	1-1	2-4	5	5	L
27/10	Kidderminster England National League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
24/10	Yeovil England National League	0-1	2-1	10	8	W
10/10	Aldershot England National League	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
03/10	Boreham Wood England National League	1-0	1-3	2	7	L
29/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	3-0	12	3	W
19/09	AFC Fylde England National League	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
16/09	Hartlepool England National League	1-1	2-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Solihull Moors vs Altrincham?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Altrincham win (41%). Probabilities: Solihull Moors 34%, draw 25%, Altrincham 41%.

How many goals are expected in Solihull Moors vs Altrincham?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Solihull Moors 1.54 · Altrincham 1.7), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Solihull Moors vs Altrincham?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.