Football · Japan J2-League · 21/11, 06:00
Prediction: Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki FC
Team pages: Tegevajaro Miyazaki · Iwaki FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1.79
Iwaki FC0.94
1X2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Draw
Iwaki FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Iwaki FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1–1
Iwaki FC
(2 last)
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki1-0Iwaki FC
- Iwaki FC2-0Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tegevajaro Miyazaki (rating 1573 vs 1500).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Iwaki FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–0–1 Iwaki FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/22 Japan J3-League | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Iwaki FC |
| 02/07/22 Japan J3-League | Iwaki FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 32 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 27 | 32 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 31 |
| 6 | Kataller Toyama | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 7 | Jubilo Iwata | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 26 |
| 8 | Shonan Bellmare | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 26 |
| 10 | Iwaki FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Oita | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 22 |
| 13 | Blaublitz Akita | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 19 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 19 |
| 17 | Tochigi City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 15 |
| 18 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 15 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Iwaki FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tochigi City | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Montedio Yamagata | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Blaublitz Akita | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Jubilo Iwata | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Omiya Ardija | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 07/11 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/11 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Oita Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 17/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
Iwaki FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 07/11 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/11 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 31/10 | Tochigi City Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/10 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 26/09 | Vegalta Sendai Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win (56%). Probabilities: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 56%, draw 25%, Iwaki FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki FC?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1.79 · Iwaki FC 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwaki FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.