Football · France Ligue 3 · 21/11, 14:45

Prediction: Le Puy vs Paris 13 Atletico

Team pages: Le Puy · Paris 13 Atletico

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Le Puy1.38
Paris 13 Atletico0.85
1X2
49% 28% 23%
Le Puy Draw Paris 13 Atletico
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Le Puy 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDLWLWWDD
Paris 13 Atletico 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWLWDL
Head-to-head
Le Puy 1–3–0 Paris 13 Atletico (4 last)
  • Paris 13 Atletico0-1Le Puy
  • Le Puy1-1Paris 13 Atletico
  • Le Puy1-1Paris 13 Atletico
  • Paris 13 Atletico1-1Le Puy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Le Puy 1533 · Paris 13 Atletico 1468
Le PuyDrawParis 13 Atletico
Our model48%30%22%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Le Puy (rating 1533 vs 1468).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Le PuyParis 13 Atletico
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.11 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.41.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 04 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Puy 1–3–0 Paris 13 Atletico

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/03/26
France Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico0-1
HT 0-1
Le Puy
26/09/25
France Ligue 3
Le Puy1-1
HT 0-0
Paris 13 Atletico
17/03/23
France Ligue 3
Le Puy1-1
HT 0-1
Paris 13 Atletico
12/10/22
France Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico1-1
HT 0-1
Le Puy

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLe PuyParis 13 Atletico
Bourg-Peronnas 1-1 D 1-1 D
Caen 2-2 D 0-2 L
Aubagne Air Bel 1-0 W 0-0 D
Thionville FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Valenciennes 1-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Le Puy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Le Puy

WLDLWLWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 44 D
31/10 Caen
France Ligue 3
2-1 2-2 33 D
17/10 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 83 W
03/10 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-0 67 W
26/09 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-2 74 L
19/09 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
3-1 4-1 43 W
12/09 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-2 64 L
05/09 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 66 D
29/08 Cannes
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 82 L
20/08 Amiens
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 25 W

Paris 13 Atletico

WDDLDWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 La Roche VF
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 42 L
31/10 FC Fleury 91
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 34 D
17/10 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 3-1 13 W
03/10 Concarneau
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-2 47 L
26/09 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
1-0 1-0 67 W
19/09 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 75 D
12/09 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-2 63 L
05/09 Aubagne Air Bel
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
29/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-0 1-1 15 D
20/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Le Puy vs Paris 13 Atletico?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Le Puy win (49%). Probabilities: Le Puy 49%, draw 28%, Paris 13 Atletico 23%.

How many goals are expected in Le Puy vs Paris 13 Atletico?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Le Puy 1.38 · Paris 13 Atletico 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Le Puy vs Paris 13 Atletico?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.