Football · England League 1 · 21/11, 13:30
Prediction: Blackpool vs Wigan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Blackpool1.52
Wigan1.05
1X2
Blackpool
Draw
Wigan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Blackpool
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Wigan
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blackpool
1–3–2
Wigan
(6 last)
- Wigan3-2Blackpool
- Blackpool1-1Wigan
- Wigan0-2Blackpool
- Wigan1-1Blackpool
- Blackpool2-2Wigan
- Wigan1-0Blackpool
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blackpool 1449 · Wigan 1523
| Blackpool | Draw | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigan (rating 1449 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Wigan: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blackpool | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.3 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackpool 1–3–2 Wigan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/26 England EFL Trophy | Wigan | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Blackpool |
| 07/03/26 England League 1 | Blackpool | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Wigan |
| 20/12/25 England League 1 | Wigan | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Blackpool |
| 26/04/25 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Blackpool |
| 28/10/24 England League 1 | Blackpool | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Wigan |
| 16/03/24 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Blackpool |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheff Wed | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blackpool | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Wed | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Mansfield | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Bromley | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Reading | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Barnsley | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Wigan (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blackpool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/11 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 24/10 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/10 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Bromley England League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Reading England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Wigan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/11 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/10 | Bromley England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 27/10 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/10 | Oxford Utd England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blackpool vs Wigan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Blackpool win (48%). Probabilities: Blackpool 48%, draw 27%, Wigan 26%.
How many goals are expected in Blackpool vs Wigan?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Blackpool 1.52 · Wigan 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Blackpool vs Wigan?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.