Football · England League 2 · 21/11, 16:00
Prediction: Accrington Stanley vs Salford City
Team pages: Accrington Stanley · Salford City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Accrington Stanley1.04
Salford City1.57
1X2
Accrington Stanley
Draw
Salford City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Accrington Stanley
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Salford City
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Accrington Stanley
3–1–2
Salford City
(6 last)
- Accrington Stanley1-1Salford City
- Accrington Stanley1-0Salford City
- Salford City2-1Accrington Stanley
- Salford City1-2Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley0-2Salford City
- Accrington Stanley3-0Salford City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Accrington Stanley 1539 · Salford City 1583
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 28% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salford City (rating 1539 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Accrington Stanley: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Accrington Stanley | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 3.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Accrington Stanley 3–1–2 Salford City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 England EFL Trophy | Accrington Stanley | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Salford City |
| 05/02/26 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Salford City |
| 16/08/25 England League 2 | Salford City | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 18/04/25 England League 2 | Salford City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 21/12/24 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Salford City |
| 01/01/24 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Salford City |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 23 |
| 4 | York | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 5 | Crewe | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Exeter | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 | Cheltenham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
| 13 | Accrington Stanley | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 15 | Tranmere | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 16 | Swindon | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 18 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 25 | 16 |
| 19 | Northampton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 20 | Oldham | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 15 |
| 21 | Colchester | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Accrington Stanley | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Oldham | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Cheltenham | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Swindon | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Salford City (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Accrington Stanley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/10 | Northampton England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Rochdale England League 2 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 03/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Barnet England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Salford City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/10 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/10 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/10 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 10/10 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 03/10 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Rotherham England League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Salford City win (49%). Probabilities: Accrington Stanley 24%, draw 27%, Salford City 49%.
How many goals are expected in Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Accrington Stanley 1.04 · Salford City 1.57), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.