Football · Poland III Liga · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Widzew Lodz II

Team pages: Jagiellonia Bialystok II · Widzew Lodz II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Jagiellonia Bialystok II1.94

Widzew Lodz II1.53

1X2

47% 24% 30%

Jagiellonia Bialystok II Draw Widzew Lodz II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Jagiellonia Bialystok II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLLDWL

Widzew Lodz II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLDWL

Head-to-head

Jagiellonia Bialystok II 0–1–1 Widzew Lodz II (2 last)

Jagiellonia Bialystok II1-4Widzew Lodz II
Widzew Lodz II1-1Jagiellonia Bialystok II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jagiellonia Bialystok II	Widzew Lodz II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.79

Under 31.92

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.01 → 2.01	Pinn 2.01
X	3.45 → 3.45	Pinn 3.45
2	3.01 → 3.01	Pinn 3.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +17’	2.01	3.45	3.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jagiellonia Bialystok II 0–1–1 Widzew Lodz II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland III Liga	Jagiellonia Bialystok II	1-4 HT 1-2	Widzew Lodz II
05/10/25 Poland III Liga	Widzew Lodz II	1-1 HT 1-1	Jagiellonia Bialystok II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	16	12	4	0	27	7	40
2	Czarni Polaniec	17	9	4	4	29	23	31
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	16	8	5	3	27	14	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	16	8	5	3	32	24	29
5	Wisloka Debica	17	9	2	6	26	25	29
6	Naprzod Jedrzejow	16	8	3	5	33	31	27
7	Wisla Krakow II	16	7	4	5	21	20	25
8	Wislanie Jaskowice	16	7	3	6	24	18	24
9	Star Starachowice	16	6	5	5	27	24	23
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	16	7	2	7	25	22	23
11	Wieczysta Krakow II	16	5	4	7	16	19	19
12	JKS Jaroslaw	16	5	3	8	32	30	18
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	16	5	2	9	22	36	17
14	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	16	3	7	6	16	20	16
15	Korona Kielce II	16	4	3	9	31	37	15
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	16	3	4	9	12	27	13
17	Moravia Morawica	16	3	3	10	19	29	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	16	3	3	10	19	32	12

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jagiellonia Bialystok II	Widzew Lodz II
Wisla Plock II	1-2 L	0-2 L
LKS Lodz II	2-3 L	0-1 L
Mlawianka Mlawa	7-4 W	4-1 W
LKS Lomza	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jagiellonia Bialystok II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jagiellonia Bialystok II

WWLLDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
30/10	Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
24/10	Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
14/10	CK Troszyn Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
10/10	Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
25/09	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
19/09	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	6	5	L
12/09	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	2-2	7-4	6	5	W
05/09	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	4	2	W

Widzew Lodz II

LLLDLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
31/10	Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga	0-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/10	LKS Lomza Poland III Liga	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
21/10	Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
18/10	Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
11/10	KTS Weszlo Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	9	4	L
03/10	Pelikan Lowicz Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	0	7	D
20/09	Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga	2-3	3-6	–	–	L
11/09	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga	1-0	2-3	2	2	L
06/09	Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Widzew Lodz II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jagiellonia Bialystok II win (47%). Probabilities: Jagiellonia Bialystok II 47%, draw 24%, Widzew Lodz II 30%.

How many goals are expected in Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Widzew Lodz II?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Jagiellonia Bialystok II 1.94 · Widzew Lodz II 1.53), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Widzew Lodz II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.