Football · Switzerland Super League · 21/11, 20:30

Prediction: FC Sion vs Servette

Team pages: FC Sion · Servette

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

FC Sion1.86

Servette1.1

1X2

55% 24% 21%

FC Sion Draw Servette

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Sion 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDLWDW

Servette 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWWLD

Head-to-head

FC Sion 0–4–2 Servette (6 last)

Servette3-0FC Sion
Servette0-0FC Sion
Servette3-3FC Sion
FC Sion0-2Servette
FC Sion1-1Servette
FC Sion3-3Servette

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Sion 1573 · Servette 1523

	FC Sion	Draw	Servette
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	55%	23%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Sion (rating 1573 vs 1523).
H2H favours Servette: 2-4-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Sion	Servette
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.90

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.26
2	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.60 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +10’	1.67	3.90	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +8’	1.67	4.26	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Sion 0–4–2 Servette

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/10/26 Switzerland Super League	Servette	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Sion
28/02/26 Switzerland Super League	Servette	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Sion
31/01/26 Switzerland Super League	Servette	3-3 HT 2-1	FC Sion
17/09/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Sion	0-2 HT 0-0	Servette
13/04/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Sion	1-1 HT 0-0	Servette
04/02/25 Switzerland Super League	FC Sion	3-3 HT 1-1	Servette

Standings · Switzerland Super League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugano	13	11	1	1	36	15	34
2	Young Boys	13	8	4	1	41	25	28
3	FC Sion	13	8	2	3	29	18	26
4	St Gallen	13	7	1	5	24	22	22
5	FC Zurich	13	6	3	4	25	26	21
6	Servette	13	5	2	6	17	16	17
7	Basel	13	4	3	6	21	25	15
8	FC Thun	13	4	2	7	27	37	14
9	Lucerne	13	3	4	6	21	28	13
10	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	16	29	11
11	FC Vaduz	13	3	1	9	24	29	10
12	FC Lausanne-Sport	13	1	4	8	12	23	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Sion	Servette
FC Vaduz	4-0 W	2-1 W
Lucerne	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Lausanne-Sport	1-0 W	1-0 W
FC Zurich	1-1 D	0-0 D
St Gallen	3-0 W	1-2 L
FC Thun	3-2 W	4-2 W
Lugano	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Sion (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Sion

LWWWWDLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	3-0	4-0	1	1	W
31/10	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
25/10	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
10/10	Servette Switzerland Super League	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
19/09	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
15/09	Grasshoppers Switzerland Super League	1-1	5-2	5	6	W
12/09	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
06/09	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	1-1	3-2	11	5	W
03/09	Basel Switzerland Super League	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
30/08	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-1	1-2	8	3	L

Servette

DLLWWLWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Zurich Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
31/10	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
24/10	FC Vaduz Switzerland Super League	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
10/10	FC Sion Switzerland Super League	2-0	3-0	5	7	W
19/09	Young Boys Switzerland Super League	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
16/09	FC Thun Switzerland Super League	2-1	4-2	5	6	W
13/09	FC Lausanne-Sport Switzerland Super League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	St Gallen Switzerland Super League	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
03/09	Lugano Switzerland Super League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Lucerne Switzerland Super League	1-1	1-1	13	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Sion vs Servette?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Sion win (55%). Probabilities: FC Sion 55%, draw 24%, Servette 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Sion vs Servette?

The model expects 2.96 goals (FC Sion 1.86 · Servette 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Sion vs Servette?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.