Football · Austria 2. Liga · 21/11, 15:30

Prediction: FC Liefering vs FC Wacker Innsbruck

Team pages: FC Liefering · FC Wacker Innsbruck

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

FC Liefering1.74

FC Wacker Innsbruck1.74

1X2

38% 24% 38%

FC Liefering Draw FC Wacker Innsbruck

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Liefering 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWLDWW

FC Wacker Innsbruck 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDDWLLLW

Head-to-head

FC Liefering 3–2–1 FC Wacker Innsbruck (6 last)

FC Liefering0-1FC Wacker Innsbruck
FC Wacker Innsbruck2-2FC Liefering
FC Wacker Innsbruck0-1FC Liefering
FC Liefering2-0FC Wacker Innsbruck
FC Wacker Innsbruck1-4FC Liefering
FC Liefering2-2FC Wacker Innsbruck

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Liefering 1518 · FC Wacker Innsbruck 1537

	FC Liefering	Draw	FC Wacker Innsbruck
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Liefering: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Liefering	FC Wacker Innsbruck
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	2.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.7	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.90

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.63 ★
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.97
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:41 +42’	2.40	3.90	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +12’	2.63	3.97	2.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Liefering 3–2–1 FC Wacker Innsbruck

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/22 Austria 2. Liga	FC Liefering	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Wacker Innsbruck
17/09/21 Austria 2. Liga	FC Wacker Innsbruck	2-2 HT 1-2	FC Liefering
14/03/21 Austria 2. Liga	FC Wacker Innsbruck	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Liefering
25/09/20 Austria 2. Liga	FC Liefering	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Wacker Innsbruck
24/06/20 Austria 2. Liga	FC Wacker Innsbruck	1-4 HT 1-2	FC Liefering
21/09/19 Austria 2. Liga	FC Liefering	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Wacker Innsbruck

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	12	10	1	1	35	6	31
2	First Vienna FC 1894	12	8	2	2	22	16	26
3	FK Austria Vienna II	12	7	2	3	20	15	23
4	FC Liefering	12	6	2	4	26	24	20
5	SV Austria Salzburg	12	6	1	5	21	18	19
6	Admira Wacker	12	6	1	5	15	13	19
7	FC Wacker Innsbruck	12	5	2	5	16	15	17
8	SKU Amstetten	12	4	5	3	20	20	17
9	SW Bregenz	12	4	4	4	15	16	16
10	ASK Voitsberg	12	4	3	5	23	21	15
11	St Polten	12	4	3	5	12	13	15
12	Sturm Graz II	12	4	2	6	21	25	14
13	Floridsdorfer AC	12	4	2	6	16	21	14
14	Rapid Vienna II	12	2	2	8	12	25	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	12	2	2	8	14	25	8
16	Hertha Wels	12	2	2	8	15	30	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Liefering	FC Wacker Innsbruck
SV Austria Salzburg	4-1 W	0-1 L
Rapid Vienna II	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sturm Graz II	3-1 W	2-2 D
Floridsdorfer AC	0-4 L	0-2 L
St Polten	1-3 L	1-0 W
ASK Voitsberg	3-2 W	1-1 D
FK Austria Vienna II	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Liefering (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Liefering

DWWLLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	4-1	5	2	W
31/10	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	10	W
24/10	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
17/10	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-4	5	8	L
10/10	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
18/09	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	1	5	L
13/09	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-3	1	4	L
28/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
21/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	5	W
16/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	4	D

FC Wacker Innsbruck

WWLDDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	3-1	3-2	4	5	W
31/10	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	14	2	L
24/10	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
16/10	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
10/10	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
19/09	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
11/09	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
29/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	10	3	L
21/08	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
15/08	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Liefering vs FC Wacker Innsbruck?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Liefering win (38%). Probabilities: FC Liefering 38%, draw 24%, FC Wacker Innsbruck 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Liefering vs FC Wacker Innsbruck?

The model expects 3.49 goals (FC Liefering 1.74 · FC Wacker Innsbruck 1.74), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Liefering vs FC Wacker Innsbruck?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.