Football · Italy Serie B · 21/11, 15:00

Prediction: Sampdoria vs Benevento

Team pages: Sampdoria · Benevento

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Sampdoria1.26
Benevento1.22
1X2
36% 29% 34%
Sampdoria Draw Benevento
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sampdoria 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLDLWW
Benevento 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWWDWDLD
Head-to-head
Sampdoria 1–1–2 Benevento (4 last)
  • Benevento1-1Sampdoria
  • Sampdoria2-3Benevento
  • Benevento3-2Sampdoria
  • Sampdoria2-1Benevento
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sampdoria 1473 · Benevento 1515
SampdoriaDrawBenevento
Our model36%30%34%
Market36%29%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benevento (rating 1473 vs 1515).
  • H2H favours Benevento: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SampdoriaBenevento
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.71.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.72.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.15.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sampdoria 1–1–2 Benevento

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/21
Italy Serie A
Benevento1-1
HT 0-0
Sampdoria
26/09/20
Italy Serie A
Sampdoria2-3
HT 2-1
Benevento
06/01/18
Italy Serie A
Benevento3-2
HT 0-1
Sampdoria
20/08/17
Italy Serie A
Sampdoria2-1
HT 1-1
Benevento

Standings · Italy Serie B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Palermo 11830 251327
2 Modena 11722 201023
3 Ascoli 11551 17720
4 Mantova 11542 151119
5 Verona 11443 191316
6 Avellino 11443 161116
7 Benevento 11443 151116
8 Pisa 11443 201716
9 Cremonese 11434 141215
10 Sudtirol 11362 131215
11 Padova 11434 121315
12 Cesena 11362 121415
13 Juve Stabia 11443 121112
14 Sampdoria 11326 111811
15 Arezzo 11326 92011
16 Virtus Entella 11245 111410
17 Carrarese 11317 91410
18 Empoli 11236 12199
19 Vicenza 11236 14249
20 Catanzaro 11137 11236

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSampdoriaBenevento
Carrarese 1-0 W 1-0 W
Ascoli 0-2 L 0-1 L
Sudtirol 1-1 D 1-1 D
Arezzo 1-2 L 3-0 W
Avellino 1-4 L 1-1 D
Catanzaro 2-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Benevento (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sampdoria

LLLWLLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Carrarese
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-0 25 W
31/10 Virtus Entella
Italy Serie B
2-0 2-0 46 W
27/10 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 43 L
24/10 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-1 53 D
18/10 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
1-1 1-2 104 L
09/10 Avellino
Italy Serie B
1-4 1-4 65 L
19/09 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-1 2-1 48 W
13/09 Mantova
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-2 53 L
07/09 Palermo
Italy Serie B
0-2 1-3 55 L
29/08 Juve Stabia
Italy Serie B
1-0 1-2 24 L

Benevento

DLWWWDWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Avellino
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 95 D
31/10 Cremonese
Italy Serie B
0-1 0-2 76 L
27/10 Catanzaro
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 56 D
24/10 Arezzo
Italy Serie B
0-0 3-0 72 W
17/10 Vicenza
Italy Serie B
2-0 2-2 17 D
10/10 Cesena
Italy Serie B
1-0 2-0 55 W
19/09 Carrarese
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-0 34 W
11/09 Verona
Italy Serie B
1-1 3-1 48 W
05/09 Ascoli
Italy Serie B
0-0 0-1 57 L
30/08 Sudtirol
Italy Serie B
0-0 1-1 112 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sampdoria vs Benevento?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sampdoria win (36%). Probabilities: Sampdoria 36%, draw 29%, Benevento 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sampdoria vs Benevento?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Sampdoria 1.26 · Benevento 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sampdoria vs Benevento?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.