Football · England League 1 · 21/11, 16:00
Prediction: Plymouth vs Peterborough
Team pages: Plymouth · Peterborough
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Plymouth1.83
Peterborough1.16
1X2
Plymouth
Draw
Peterborough
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Plymouth
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Peterborough
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Plymouth
3–3
Peterborough
(6 last)
- Peterborough0-1Plymouth
- Plymouth0-1Peterborough
- Peterborough5-2Plymouth
- Plymouth2-0Peterborough
- Plymouth0-2Peterborough
- Peterborough0-4Plymouth
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Plymouth 1544 · Peterborough 1437
| Plymouth | Draw | Peterborough | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth (rating 1544 vs 1437).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plymouth | Peterborough | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth 3–0–3 Peterborough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 England League 1 | Peterborough | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Plymouth |
| 20/09/25 England League 1 | Plymouth | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Peterborough |
| 25/02/23 England League 1 | Peterborough | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Plymouth |
| 13/08/22 England League 1 | Plymouth | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Peterborough |
| 10/08/22 England EFL Cup | Plymouth | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Peterborough |
| 10/08/21 England EFL Cup | Peterborough | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Plymouth |
Standings · England League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheff Wed | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plymouth | Peterborough |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Wed | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Stevenage | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Huddersfield | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Burton Albion | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Peterborough (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plymouth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/10 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/10 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Barnsley England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Peterborough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Luton England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | D |
| 20/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Leicester England League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/09 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plymouth vs Peterborough?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth win (52%). Probabilities: Plymouth 52%, draw 25%, Peterborough 23%.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth vs Peterborough?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Plymouth 1.83 · Peterborough 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Plymouth vs Peterborough?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.