Football · Hungary NB I · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Ujpest vs Kisvarda FC

Team pages: Ujpest · Kisvarda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Ujpest1.78

Kisvarda FC1.07

1X2

53% 26% 22%

Ujpest Draw Kisvarda FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ujpest 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDWDLLWL

Kisvarda FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDDDLL

Head-to-head

Ujpest 2–4 Kisvarda FC (6 last)

Kisvarda FC2-4Ujpest
Ujpest2-1Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC3-0Ujpest
Ujpest0-1Kisvarda FC
Kisvarda FC4-1Ujpest
Kisvarda FC4-0Ujpest

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ujpest (rating 1521 vs 1469).
H2H favours Kisvarda FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ujpest	Kisvarda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 31.99

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.56	Pinn 1.56
X	4.37 → 4.37	Pinn 4.37
2	5.03 → 5.03	Pinn 5.03

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:25	1.56	4.37	5.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ujpest 2–0–4 Kisvarda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	2-4 HT 1-2	Ujpest
14/03/26 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	2-1 HT 1-1	Kisvarda FC
30/11/25 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	3-0 HT 0-0	Ujpest
15/08/25 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	0-1 HT 0-0	Kisvarda FC
13/04/24 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	4-1 HT 3-1	Ujpest
16/12/23 Hungary NB I	Kisvarda FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Ujpest

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	13	8	0	5	18	15	24
2	Ferencvarosi TC	12	6	5	1	22	10	23
3	Gyori ETO	13	6	5	2	22	15	23
4	Debreceni VSC	13	6	4	3	24	18	22
5	Paksi	13	6	2	5	24	22	20
6	Ujpest	13	5	3	5	21	20	18
7	Vasas SC	13	4	4	5	20	19	16
8	Kispest Honved	12	3	5	4	16	19	14
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	4	1	8	17	24	13
10	MTK Budapest	13	3	4	6	18	27	13
11	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	13	3	3	7	14	24	12
12	Kisvarda FC	13	2	6	5	12	15	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ujpest	Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC	1-3 L	0-0 D
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2-1 W	1-2 L
Gyori ETO	0-1 L	1-1 D
Puskas Academy	0-1 L	0-1 L
Kispest Honved	1-1 D	0-1 L
Zalaegerszegi TE	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ferencvarosi TC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Vasas SC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Paksi	0-2 L	0-1 L
MTK Budapest	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	1 W 5 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ujpest

DLWDWDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-1	1-3	6	6	L
01/11	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
24/10	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
17/10	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-0	0-1	6	9	L
11/10	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	13	5	D
20/09	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
06/09	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	1-2	2-2	1	4	D
29/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
21/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
15/08	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	5	3	D

Kisvarda FC

LDDWLDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
31/10	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
24/10	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
18/10	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
10/10	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
19/09	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
05/09	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
30/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
23/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
15/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	0-1	1-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ujpest vs Kisvarda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ujpest win (53%). Probabilities: Ujpest 53%, draw 26%, Kisvarda FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Ujpest vs Kisvarda FC?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Ujpest 1.78 · Kisvarda FC 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ujpest vs Kisvarda FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.