Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 21/11, 11:30

Prediction: Genclerbirligi vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

Team pages: Genclerbirligi · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Genclerbirligi1.48

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK1.26

1X2

41% 27% 31%

Genclerbirligi Draw Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Genclerbirligi 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Genclerbirligi 2–1–3 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK (6 last)

Genclerbirligi2-1Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK2-1Genclerbirligi
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK2-1Genclerbirligi
Genclerbirligi1-1Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Genclerbirligi1-0Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK4-1Genclerbirligi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Genclerbirligi 1461 · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1448

	Genclerbirligi	Draw	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Our model	41%	28%	31%
Market	42%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gazisehir Gaziantep FK: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Genclerbirligi	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.39 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.55
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 4.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:48 +28’	2.20	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +4’	2.39	3.55	2.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Genclerbirligi 2–1–3 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Genclerbirligi	2-1 HT 1-0	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
23/08/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	2-1 HT 1-1	Genclerbirligi
02/03/21 Türkiye Super Lig	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	2-1 HT 0-1	Genclerbirligi
31/10/20 Türkiye Super Lig	Genclerbirligi	1-1 HT 0-1	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
24/01/20 Türkiye Super Lig	Genclerbirligi	1-0 HT 0-0	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
26/08/19 Türkiye Super Lig	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	4-1 HT 2-0	Genclerbirligi

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Galatasaray	11	9	1	1	27	15	28
2	Trabzonspor	11	8	1	2	26	8	25
3	Amedspor	11	7	2	2	28	15	23
4	Besiktas	11	7	1	3	23	12	22
5	Kasimpasa	11	5	5	1	17	11	20
6	Fenerbahce	11	6	1	4	29	10	19
7	Kocaelispor	11	6	1	4	13	9	19
8	Istanbul Basaksehir	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
9	Corum Belediyespor	11	5	1	5	21	21	16
10	Goztepe	11	4	3	4	22	19	15
11	Caykur Rizespor	11	4	2	5	13	16	14
12	Erzurumspor FK	11	4	2	5	10	17	14
13	Alanyaspor	11	3	3	5	9	18	12
14	Genclerbirligi	11	3	2	6	12	21	11
15	Konyaspor	11	2	2	7	6	14	8
16	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	11	2	2	7	9	19	8
17	Samsunspor	11	2	1	8	11	26	7
18	Eyupspor	11	1	0	10	3	30	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Genclerbirligi	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Istanbul Basaksehir	0-4 L	1-2 L
Kasimpasa	1-2 L	0-2 L
Trabzonspor	0-5 L	0-2 L
Erzurumspor FK	1-1 D	1-3 L
Goztepe	1-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Gazisehir Gaziantep FK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genclerbirligi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	0-3	1	6	L
02/11	Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	5-0	3	4	W
25/10	Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
17/10	Galatasaray Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
10/10	Amedspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
19/09	Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	0-4	7	3	L
13/09	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-2	8	6	L
06/09	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-3	0-5	3	4	L
28/08	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
23/08	Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
01/11	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
24/10	Erzurumspor FK Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-3	5	2	L
18/10	Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	1-2	5	8	L
11/10	Corum Belediyespor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-3	9	5	L
19/09	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
14/09	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
07/09	Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig	4-0	4-2	3	6	W
29/08	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
23/08	Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genclerbirligi vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Genclerbirligi win (41%). Probabilities: Genclerbirligi 41%, draw 27%, Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 31%.

How many goals are expected in Genclerbirligi vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Genclerbirligi 1.48 · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.