Football · Spain La Liga · 21/11, 14:00
Prediction: CD Alaves vs Deportivo A Coruna
Team pages: CD Alaves · Deportivo A Coruna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
CD Alaves1.5
Deportivo A Coruna1.06
1X2
CD Alaves
Draw
Deportivo A Coruna
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Alaves
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo A Coruna
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Alaves
3–2–1
Deportivo A Coruna
(6 last)
- Deportivo A Coruna0-1CD Alaves
- CD Alaves1-0Deportivo A Coruna
- Deportivo A Coruna1-0CD Alaves
- Deportivo A Coruna0-1CD Alaves
- CD Alaves1-1Deportivo A Coruna
- Deportivo A Coruna2-2CD Alaves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Alaves 1467 · Deportivo A Coruna 1510
| CD Alaves | Draw | Deportivo A Coruna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo A Coruna (rating 1467 vs 1510).
- H2H favours CD Alaves: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Alaves | Deportivo A Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Alaves 3–2–1 Deportivo A Coruna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/21 Spain Copa del Rey | Deportivo A Coruna | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Alaves |
| 17/02/18 Spain La Liga | CD Alaves | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo A Coruna |
| 20/09/17 Spain La Liga | Deportivo A Coruna | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Alaves |
| 18/02/17 Spain La Liga | Deportivo A Coruna | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Alaves |
| 11/01/17 Spain Copa del Rey | CD Alaves | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo A Coruna |
| 03/01/17 Spain Copa del Rey | Deportivo A Coruna | 2-2 HT 0-2 | CD Alaves |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | CD Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Alaves | Deportivo A Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Madrid | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Valencia | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Osasuna | 5-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Villarreal | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Alaves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-4 | 1-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/08 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Deportivo A Coruna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/10 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 16/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Alaves vs Deportivo A Coruna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Alaves win (46%). Probabilities: CD Alaves 46%, draw 28%, Deportivo A Coruna 26%.
How many goals are expected in CD Alaves vs Deportivo A Coruna?
The model expects 2.56 goals (CD Alaves 1.5 · Deportivo A Coruna 1.06), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Alaves vs Deportivo A Coruna?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.