Football · England National League · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Kidderminster vs AFC Fylde

Team pages: Kidderminster · AFC Fylde

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Kidderminster1.12

AFC Fylde1.37

1X2

31% 27% 43%

Kidderminster Draw AFC Fylde

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kidderminster 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLDDLDLD

AFC Fylde 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Kidderminster 2–2–2 AFC Fylde (6 last)

Kidderminster1-0AFC Fylde
AFC Fylde2-1Kidderminster
AFC Fylde2-2Kidderminster
Kidderminster1-1AFC Fylde
AFC Fylde2-1Kidderminster
AFC Fylde0-2Kidderminster

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kidderminster 1497 · AFC Fylde 1552

	Kidderminster	Draw	AFC Fylde
Our model	29%	29%	41%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Fylde (rating 1497 vs 1552).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kidderminster	AFC Fylde
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.1	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.47 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:16 +11’	2.88	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +2’	2.71	3.49	2.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kidderminster 2–2–2 AFC Fylde

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 England National League North	Kidderminster	1-0 HT 1-0	AFC Fylde
23/08/25 England National League North	AFC Fylde	2-1 HT 1-0	Kidderminster
07/12/24 England FA Trophy	AFC Fylde	2-2 HT 1-2	Kidderminster
12/03/24 England National League	Kidderminster	1-1 HT 0-1	AFC Fylde
15/08/23 England National League	AFC Fylde	2-1 HT 0-0	Kidderminster
10/04/23 England National League North	AFC Fylde	0-2 HT 0-2	Kidderminster

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	17	14	3	0	46	19	45
2	Harrogate Town	17	11	2	4	38	23	35
3	Southend	17	9	5	3	40	28	32
4	AFC Fylde	17	10	2	5	32	25	32
5	Yeovil	17	8	5	4	37	22	29
6	Carlisle	17	8	5	4	34	23	29
7	Worthing	17	8	5	4	33	26	29
8	Barrow	16	8	4	4	29	19	28
9	Altrincham	17	9	1	7	24	28	28
10	Halifax	17	7	4	6	29	21	25
11	Sutton Utd	17	7	3	7	20	23	24
12	AFC Hornchurch	17	8	0	9	20	27	24
13	Kidderminster	17	5	7	5	18	17	22
14	Woking	16	6	3	7	25	24	21
15	Aldershot	17	6	3	8	20	21	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
17	Wealdstone	17	5	4	8	24	30	19
18	Eastleigh	17	5	4	8	20	27	19
19	Boston Utd	17	5	3	9	21	31	18
20	Tamworth	16	5	2	9	26	34	17
21	Hartlepool	17	5	1	11	19	28	16
22	Solihull Moors	17	5	1	11	21	40	16
23	Scunthorpe	16	3	2	11	20	31	11
24	Gateshead	16	1	1	14	9	37	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kidderminster	AFC Fylde
Altrincham	0-0 D	1-2 L
Carlisle	0-0 D	0-2 L
Boreham Wood	1-3 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kidderminster (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kidderminster

WDLLDDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Halifax England National League	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
31/10	Solihull Moors England National League	1-2	1-2	3	4	L
27/10	Altrincham England National League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
24/10	Worthing England National League	1-0	1-2	12	3	L
10/10	Carlisle England National League	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
03/10	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	1-1	0	2	D
29/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	1-3	0	4	L
26/09	Yeovil England National League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	Woking England National League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
16/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	1-0	1	7	W

AFC Fylde

WLWLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Eastleigh England National League	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
30/10	AFC Hornchurch England National League	2-1	3-1	6	5	W
27/10	Hartlepool England National League	0-1	3-1	5	1	W
24/10	Boreham Wood England National League	0-3	0-4	1	3	L
10/10	Scunthorpe England National League	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
03/10	Southend England National League	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
29/09	Carlisle England National League	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
26/09	Boston Utd England National League	0-0	1-0	14	5	W
19/09	Altrincham England National League	1-2	1-2	4	7	L
15/09	Harrogate Town England National League	0-0	2-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kidderminster vs AFC Fylde?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Fylde win (43%). Probabilities: Kidderminster 31%, draw 27%, AFC Fylde 43%.

How many goals are expected in Kidderminster vs AFC Fylde?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Kidderminster 1.12 · AFC Fylde 1.37), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kidderminster vs AFC Fylde?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.