Prediction: Como vs Cagliari
- Cagliari1-2Como
- Como0-0Cagliari
- Como3-1Cagliari
- Cagliari1-1Como
- Cagliari1-3Como
- Cagliari2-1Como
| Como | Draw | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Como (rating 1596 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Como: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Como | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.3 | 1.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Como 3–2–1 Cagliari
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Como |
| 08/11/25 Italy Serie A | Como | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cagliari |
| 10/05/25 Italy Serie A | Como | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Cagliari |
| 26/08/24 Italy Serie A | Cagliari | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Como |
| 25/07/24 Elite Club Friendlies | Cagliari | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Como |
| 02/08/23 Europe Friendlies | Cagliari | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Como |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Como | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Roma | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| Frosinone | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cagliari (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Como
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/11 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 27/10 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Fiorentina Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Cagliari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 01/11 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/10 | Roma Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 19/10 | Monza Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 07/09 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Como vs Cagliari?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Como win (72%). Probabilities: Como 72%, draw 18%, Cagliari 10%.
How many goals are expected in Como vs Cagliari?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Como 2.3 · Cagliari 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Como vs Cagliari?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.