Football · Japan J-League · 20/11, 11:00

Prediction: Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock

Team pages: Vissel Kobe · Mito Hollyhock

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Vissel Kobe2.09

Mito Hollyhock0.82

1X2

66% 21% 13%

Vissel Kobe Draw Mito Hollyhock

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vissel Kobe 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLDWD

Mito Hollyhock 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLLLL

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vissel Kobe (rating 1569 vs 1433).
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vissel Kobe	Mito Hollyhock
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	0.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	1.6 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.99

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.43	Pinn 1.43
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.50
2	7.54 → 7.54	Pinn 7.54

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +9’	1.43	4.50	7.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Japan J-League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	14	10	3	1	33	8	33
2	Kashiwa Reysol	14	10	1	3	31	20	31
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	9	3	2	32	10	30
4	Machida Zelvia	14	8	5	1	30	10	29
5	Vissel Kobe	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
6	Kashima Antlers	14	7	2	5	29	24	23
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	14	5	7	2	21	15	22
8	Kawasaki Frontale	14	6	4	4	28	24	22
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	14	7	1	6	23	29	22
10	Fagiano Okayama	14	5	2	7	16	22	17
11	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	5	5	16	25	17
12	Kyoto Sanga FC	14	4	4	6	19	23	16
13	Nagoya Grampus	14	4	2	8	15	23	14
14	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	5	6	12	22	14
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	8	10	23	14
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	3	4	7	17	22	13
17	JEF Utd Chiba	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
18	Gamba Osaka	14	2	6	6	16	24	12
19	Mito Hollyhock	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	14	2	2	10	14	25	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vissel Kobe	Mito Hollyhock
Urawa Red Diamonds	2-2 D	0-1 L
Kawasaki Frontale	1-2 L	0-1 L
Fagiano Okayama	3-0 W	0-2 L
Kashima Antlers	2-1 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vissel Kobe (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vissel Kobe

WWWWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	1-0	2-2	2	0	D
31/10	Nagoya Grampus Japan J-League	1-1	3-1	8	2	W
24/10	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
21/10	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
18/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-0	3-0	8	4	W
09/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	0-1	2-4	2	1	L
20/09	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
11/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-0	3-1	2	2	W
02/09	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	6	4	W

Mito Hollyhock

WDLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
31/10	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
25/10	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-1	0-6	5	1	L
21/10	Fagiano Okayama Japan J-League	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
17/10	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
11/10	Shimizu S-Pulse Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
19/09	Yokohama F-Marinos Japan J-League	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
12/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
05/09	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
02/09	Kashima Antlers Japan J-League	2-0	4-2	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vissel Kobe win (66%). Probabilities: Vissel Kobe 66%, draw 21%, Mito Hollyhock 13%.

How many goals are expected in Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Vissel Kobe 2.09 · Mito Hollyhock 0.82), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vissel Kobe vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.