Prediction: Lille vs Lyon
- Lyon1-0Lille
- Lille1-2Lyon
- Lille0-1Lyon
- Lyon2-1Lille
- Lille1-1Lyon
- Lille3-4Lyon
| Lille | Draw | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Lyon: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lille | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lille 0–1–5 Lyon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lille |
| 11/01/26 France Cup | Lille | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Lyon |
| 28/09/25 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lyon |
| 05/04/25 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Lille |
| 01/11/24 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lyon |
| 06/05/24 France Ligue 1 | Lille | 3-4 HT 2-0 | Lyon |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 16 |
| 9 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lille | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Lens | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Brest | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Le Havre | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Nice | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Toulouse | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| PSG | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Angers | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lille (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lille
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/10 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 17/10 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/09 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Lyon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/11 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/10 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lille vs Lyon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lille win (40%). Probabilities: Lille 40%, draw 30%, Lyon 30%.
How many goals are expected in Lille vs Lyon?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Lille 1.2 · Lyon 1.01), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lille vs Lyon?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.