Football · England National League South · 21/11, 16:00

Prediction: Chesham vs Hampton & Richmond

Team pages: Chesham · Hampton & Richmond

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Chesham1.84

Hampton & Richmond1.29

1X2

50% 24% 26%

Chesham Draw Hampton & Richmond

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Chesham 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLLDL

Hampton & Richmond 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLDLLD

Head-to-head

Chesham 4–2 Hampton & Richmond (6 last)

Hampton & Richmond0-1Chesham
Chesham1-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond0-1Chesham
Chesham2-1Hampton & Richmond
Chesham1-2Hampton & Richmond
Hampton & Richmond1-5Chesham

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chesham 1435 · Hampton & Richmond 1413

	Chesham	Draw	Hampton & Richmond
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chesham: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chesham	Hampton & Richmond
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.6	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.9	1.4 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:51 +17’	1.80	3.75	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chesham 4–0–2 Hampton & Richmond

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/01/26 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	0-1 HT 0-1	Chesham
25/08/25 England National League South	Chesham	1-2 HT 1-1	Hampton & Richmond
25/02/25 England National League South	Hampton & Richmond	0-1 HT 0-1	Chesham
26/11/24 England National League South	Chesham	2-1 HT 1-0	Hampton & Richmond
21/09/19 England FA Cup Qualification	Chesham	1-2	Hampton & Richmond
16/07/19 Club Friendly List	Hampton & Richmond	1-5 HT 0-1	Chesham

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	38	12	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	28	19	32
3	Salisbury FC	15	9	4	2	27	10	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	27	12	30
5	Farnham	16	9	2	5	32	20	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	34	23	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	34	18	26
8	Chelmsford	16	5	10	1	25	17	25
9	Dag & Red	16	7	4	5	15	13	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	28	19	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	24	17	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	23	19	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	20	19	22
14	Weston Super Mare	15	6	3	6	25	22	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	22	18	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	17	29	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	13	33	17
18	Maidenhead Utd	16	3	7	6	15	20	16
19	Braintree Town	16	5	1	10	22	40	16
20	Hemel Hempstead	17	3	6	8	15	26	15
21	Chesham	15	3	2	10	20	33	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	19	37	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	11	36	8
24	Slough	16	2	1	13	18	40	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chesham	Hampton & Richmond
Ebbsfleet United	0-1 L	0-2 L
Dag & Red	0-2 L	0-1 L
Chelmsford	0-5 L	1-1 D
Maidenhead Utd	0-4 L	1-1 D
Billericay Town	1-2 L	2-2 D
Truro City	1-3 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hampton & Richmond (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chesham

DLLWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
31/10	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
27/10	Farnham England National League South	1-2	2-4	7	1	L
24/10	Dag & Red England National League South	0-2	0-2	10	3	L
10/10	Chelmsford England National League South	0-5	0-5	3	3	L
26/09	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-1	0-4	5	5	L
12/09	Horsham England National League South	1-0	4-1	6	11	W
08/09	Billericay Town England National League South	0-2	1-2	9	3	L
05/09	Truro City England National League South	1-1	1-3	6	1	L
31/08	Dover England National League South	0-1	2-2	7	2	D

Hampton & Richmond

LWDLLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/11	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
31/10	Braintree Town England National League South	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
27/10	Billericay Town England National League South	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/10	Truro City England National League South	2-1	3-4	1	3	L
10/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
26/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
12/09	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
08/09	Farnborough England National League South	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	AFC Totton England National League South	0-3	1-4	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chesham vs Hampton & Richmond?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chesham win (50%). Probabilities: Chesham 50%, draw 24%, Hampton & Richmond 26%.

How many goals are expected in Chesham vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Chesham 1.84 · Hampton & Richmond 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chesham vs Hampton & Richmond?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.