Football · Japan J2-League · 21/11, 06:00
Prediction: Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai
Team pages: Sagan Tosu · Vegalta Sendai
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Sagan Tosu1.26
Vegalta Sendai1.1
1X2
Sagan Tosu
Draw
Vegalta Sendai
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sagan Tosu
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Vegalta Sendai
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sagan Tosu
3–3
Vegalta Sendai
(6 last)
- Vegalta Sendai3-2Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu0-1Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai0-1Sagan Tosu
- Sagan Tosu5-0Vegalta Sendai
- Sagan Tosu0-1Vegalta Sendai
- Vegalta Sendai0-3Sagan Tosu
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sagan Tosu | Vegalta Sendai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 8.1 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagan Tosu 3–0–3 Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/25 Japan J2-League | Vegalta Sendai | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Sagan Tosu |
| 15/02/25 Japan J2-League | Sagan Tosu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 29/08/21 Japan J-League | Vegalta Sendai | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sagan Tosu |
| 10/03/21 Japan J-League | Sagan Tosu | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 25/11/20 Japan J-League | Sagan Tosu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vegalta Sendai |
| 08/11/20 Japan J-League | Vegalta Sendai | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sagan Tosu |
Standings · Japan J2-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 32 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 27 | 32 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 31 |
| 6 | Kataller Toyama | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 7 | Jubilo Iwata | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 26 |
| 8 | Shonan Bellmare | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 26 |
| 10 | Iwaki FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Sagan Tosu | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 12 | Oita | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 22 |
| 13 | Blaublitz Akita | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | Tokushima Vortis | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 19 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 19 |
| 17 | Tochigi City | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 15 |
| 18 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | 15 |
| 19 | FC Imabari | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 12 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sagan Tosu | Vegalta Sendai |
|---|---|---|
| Kataller Toyama | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Jubilo Iwata | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Albirex Niigata | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Omiya Ardija | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Blaublitz Akita | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Montedio Yamagata | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Vegalta Sendai (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagan Tosu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 03/11 | Shonan Bellmare Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 04/10 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Vegalta Sendai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11 | Blaublitz Akita Japan J2-League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/11 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2-League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/11 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/10 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 21/10 | FC Imabari Japan J2-League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2-League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Montedio Yamagata Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2-League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 26/09 | Iwaki FC Japan J2-League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sagan Tosu win (39%). Probabilities: Sagan Tosu 39%, draw 30%, Vegalta Sendai 31%.
How many goals are expected in Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Sagan Tosu 1.26 · Vegalta Sendai 1.1), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.