Prediction: Lazio vs Lecce
- Lecce0-0Lazio
- Lazio2-0Lecce
- Lazio0-1Lecce
- Lecce1-2Lazio
- Lazio1-0Lecce
- Lecce2-1Lazio
| Lazio | Draw | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 20% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (rating 1606 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Lazio: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lazio | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.9 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lazio 3–1–2 Lecce
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lazio |
| 23/11/25 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lecce |
| 25/05/25 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lecce |
| 21/12/24 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lazio |
| 14/01/24 Italy Serie A | Lazio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lecce |
| 20/08/23 Italy Serie A | Lecce | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lazio |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lazio | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Juventus | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Monza | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| AC Milan | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Udinese | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Genoa | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Lazio (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lazio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/11 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/10 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
4-2 | 6-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Parma Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Monza Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Venezia Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Lecce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Torino Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/11 | Genoa Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/10 | Frosinone Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Juventus Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | AC Milan Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Monza Italy Serie A |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lazio vs Lecce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lazio win (69%). Probabilities: Lazio 69%, draw 20%, Lecce 12%.
How many goals are expected in Lazio vs Lecce?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Lazio 2.31 · Lecce 0.88), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lazio vs Lecce?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.