Football · England National League · 21/11, 16:00
Prediction: Sutton Utd vs Boston Utd
Team pages: Sutton Utd · Boston Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Sutton Utd1.59
Boston Utd1.15
1X2
Sutton Utd
Draw
Boston Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sutton Utd
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Boston Utd
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutton Utd
0–1–3
Boston Utd
(4 last)
- Boston Utd1-0Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd1-1Boston Utd
- Boston Utd2-1Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd0-3Boston Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutton Utd 1487 · Boston Utd 1462
| Sutton Utd | Draw | Boston Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Boston Utd: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutton Utd | Boston Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 3.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Utd 0–1–3 Boston Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 England National League | Boston Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 27/09/25 England National League | Sutton Utd | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Boston Utd |
| 29/03/25 England National League | Boston Utd | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Sutton Utd |
| 07/09/24 England National League | Sutton Utd | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Boston Utd |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 35 |
| 3 | Southend | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 28 | 32 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 32 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 29 |
| 6 | Carlisle | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 29 |
| 7 | Worthing | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 29 |
| 8 | Barrow | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 28 |
| 9 | Altrincham | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 28 |
| 10 | Halifax | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 24 |
| 12 | AFC Hornchurch | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 21 |
| 15 | Aldershot | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 19 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 30 | 19 |
| 18 | Eastleigh | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 19 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 16 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 40 | 16 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 11 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 37 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutton Utd | Boston Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| Halifax | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Eastleigh | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/10 | Worthing England National League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/10 | Aldershot England National League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/10 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/10 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Kidderminster England National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/09 | Tamworth England National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Forest Green England National League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Halifax England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Eastleigh England National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
Boston Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Carlisle England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 31/10 | Scunthorpe England National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 27/10 | Gateshead England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Eastleigh England National League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Yeovil England National League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/09 | Halifax England National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | AFC Fylde England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Forest Green England National League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutton Utd vs Boston Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Utd win (47%). Probabilities: Sutton Utd 47%, draw 27%, Boston Utd 27%.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Boston Utd?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Sutton Utd 1.59 · Boston Utd 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Boston Utd?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.