Football · Spain La Liga · 29/11, 17:00

Prediction: Levante vs Racing Santander

Team pages: Levante · Racing Santander

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Levante2.02

Racing Santander1.52

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Levante Draw Racing Santander

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Levante 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDDWLL

Racing Santander 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLWLW

Head-to-head

Levante 2–1–3 Racing Santander (6 last)

Levante3-1Racing Santander
Racing Santander1-0Levante
Racing Santander0-0Levante
Levante2-4Racing Santander
Racing Santander0-1Levante
Levante0-1Racing Santander

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante 1487 · Racing Santander 1490

	Levante	Draw	Racing Santander
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Racing Santander: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levante	Racing Santander
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.5 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:03 +4’	1.95	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Levante 2–1–3 Racing Santander

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/25 Spain Segunda	Levante	3-1 HT 1-0	Racing Santander
13/10/24 Spain Segunda	Racing Santander	1-0 HT 0-0	Levante
20/04/24 Spain Segunda	Racing Santander	0-0 HT 0-0	Levante
20/11/23 Spain Segunda	Levante	2-4 HT 2-1	Racing Santander
25/03/23 Spain Segunda	Racing Santander	0-1 HT 0-1	Levante
09/10/22 Spain Segunda	Levante	0-1 HT 0-0	Racing Santander

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46	12	30
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	31	10	30
3	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22	8	28
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	20	15	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	21	20	22
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	17	19	18
7	Athletic Bilbao	11	4	4	3	15	11	16
8	Deportivo A Coruna	12	3	6	3	15	14	15
9	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	17	30	14
10	CD Alaves	12	3	4	5	15	17	13
11	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15	15	12
12	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10	10	12
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	13	14	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	15	21	12
15	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8	16	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	12	23	12
17	Levante	11	2	4	5	16	21	10
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	14	20	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	8	20	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	9	23	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levante	Racing Santander
Barcelona	2-4 L	2-7 L
Malaga	0-0 D	2-1 W
Osasuna	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Levante (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante

DWDLLDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
25/10	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	1-2	1-2	3	4	L
21/10	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
16/10	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
12/10	Sevilla Spain La Liga	0-1	3-3	5	8	D
20/09	Villarreal Spain La Liga	1-1	1-3	1	2	L
13/09	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-2	2-4	3	2	L
06/09	Malaga Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/08	Real Betis Spain La Liga	2-2	5-2	5	2	W
24/08	Osasuna Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Racing Santander

WLWLLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Malaga Spain La Liga	0-1	2-1	3	7	W
01/11	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
24/10	Espanyol Spain La Liga	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
18/10	Osasuna Spain La Liga	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
11/10	Valencia Spain La Liga	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
19/09	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-2	0-5	3	7	L
16/09	Barcelona Spain La Liga	1-4	2-7	0	5	L
12/09	CD Alaves Spain La Liga	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
05/09	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	2-2	2-3	6	6	L
28/08	Elche Spain La Liga	3-0	3-2	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante vs Racing Santander?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levante win (48%). Probabilities: Levante 48%, draw 24%, Racing Santander 28%.

How many goals are expected in Levante vs Racing Santander?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Levante 2.02 · Racing Santander 1.52), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante vs Racing Santander?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.