Football · Spain La Liga · 29/11, 17:00
Prediction: Espanyol vs Getafe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Espanyol1.24
Getafe0.94
1X2
Espanyol
Draw
Getafe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Espanyol
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Getafe
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Espanyol
3–3
Getafe
(6 last)
- Espanyol1-2Getafe
- Getafe0-1Espanyol
- Espanyol1-0Getafe
- Getafe1-0Espanyol
- Espanyol0-1Getafe
- Espanyol1-0Getafe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Espanyol 1487 · Getafe 1442
| Espanyol | Draw | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Espanyol (rating 1487 vs 1442).
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Espanyol | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanyol 3–0–3 Getafe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Getafe |
| 13/12/25 Spain La Liga | Getafe | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Espanyol |
| 18/04/25 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Getafe |
| 09/12/24 Spain La Liga | Getafe | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Espanyol |
| 06/01/24 Spain Copa del Rey | Espanyol | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Getafe |
| 30/04/23 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Getafe |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 14 |
| 10 | CD Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 10 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Espanyol | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo A Coruna | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Racing Santander | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Malaga | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Osasuna | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sevilla | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Getafe (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Espanyol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 30/10 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/10 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 18/09 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Getafe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 10/10 | Barcelona Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/09 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Celta Vigo Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Espanyol vs Getafe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Espanyol win (42%). Probabilities: Espanyol 42%, draw 30%, Getafe 27%.
How many goals are expected in Espanyol vs Getafe?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Espanyol 1.24 · Getafe 0.94), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Getafe?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.