Football · Russia Premier League · 21/11, 11:00
Prediction: FC Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Team pages: FC Orenburg · Baltika Kaliningrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
FC Orenburg1.35
Baltika Kaliningrad0.69
1X2
FC Orenburg
Draw
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Orenburg
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Baltika Kaliningrad
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Orenburg
2–2–2
Baltika Kaliningrad
(6 last)
- FC Orenburg0-0Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad3-2FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg1-0Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-1Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-1FC Orenburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Orenburg (rating 1528 vs 1485).
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Orenburg | Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.6 | – / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Orenburg 2–2–2 Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 03/08/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3-2 HT 1-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 10/03/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 07/10/23 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 06/11/21 Russia Division 1 | FC Orenburg | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 24/07/21 Russia Division 1 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Orenburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Rostov | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Orenburg | Baltika Kaliningrad |
|---|---|---|
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Rodina Moscow | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Krasnodar | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Akron Tolyatti | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 01/11 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 23/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/10 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 14 | D |
| 10/10 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 01/11 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Orenburg win (51%). Probabilities: FC Orenburg 51%, draw 31%, Baltika Kaliningrad 18%.
How many goals are expected in FC Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model expects 2.04 goals (FC Orenburg 1.35 · Baltika Kaliningrad 0.69), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.