Football · Hungary NB I · 21/11, 13:30

Prediction: Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest

Team pages: Puskas Academy · MTK Budapest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Puskas Academy2.07

MTK Budapest1.24

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Puskas Academy Draw MTK Budapest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Puskas Academy 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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MTK Budapest 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Puskas Academy 2–4–0 MTK Budapest (6 last)

MTK Budapest2-3Puskas Academy
Puskas Academy2-2MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest2-2Puskas Academy
Puskas Academy1-1MTK Budapest
Puskas Academy1-1MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest0-1Puskas Academy

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puskas Academy (rating 1551 vs 1482).
H2H favours Puskas Academy: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Puskas Academy	MTK Budapest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.97

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.96 → 1.98▲	Pinn 1.98
X	3.95 → 3.87▼	Pinn 3.87
2	3.33 → 3.34▲	Pinn 3.34

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14 +4’	1.96	3.95	3.33
16:55 +8’	1.98▲	3.87▼	3.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Puskas Academy 2–4–0 MTK Budapest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	2-3 HT 0-2	Puskas Academy
15/05/26 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	2-2 HT 0-0	MTK Budapest
14/02/26 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	2-2 HT 0-2	Puskas Academy
25/10/25 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	1-1 HT 1-0	MTK Budapest
06/04/25 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	1-1 HT 1-1	MTK Budapest
30/11/24 Hungary NB I	MTK Budapest	0-1 HT 0-0	Puskas Academy

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	13	8	0	5	18	15	24
2	Ferencvarosi TC	12	6	5	1	22	10	23
3	Gyori ETO	13	6	5	2	22	15	23
4	Debreceni VSC	13	6	4	3	24	18	22
5	Paksi	13	6	2	5	24	22	20
6	Ujpest	13	5	3	5	21	20	18
7	Vasas SC	13	4	4	5	20	19	16
8	Kispest Honved	12	3	5	4	16	19	14
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	4	1	8	17	24	13
10	MTK Budapest	13	3	4	6	18	27	13
11	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	13	3	3	7	14	24	12
12	Kisvarda FC	13	2	6	5	12	15	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Puskas Academy	MTK Budapest
Kisvarda FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Debreceni VSC	1-3 L	2-2 D
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1-2 L	2-1 W
Ujpest	1-0 W	1-1 D
Gyori ETO	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kispest Honved	3-1 W	2-2 D
Zalaegerszegi TE	0-1 L	0-3 L
Ferencvarosi TC	1-2 L	0-5 L
Vasas SC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Paksi	3-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Puskas Academy (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puskas Academy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
01/11	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-1	1-3	4	9	L
25/10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
17/10	Ujpest Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
11/10	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
18/09	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	2-1	3-1	9	5	W
06/09	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
30/08	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
22/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
16/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	2-1	3-2	2	2	W

MTK Budapest

DWDLLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-2	2-2	5	7	D
31/10	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
25/10	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
16/10	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
10/10	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
20/09	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
05/09	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
28/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
22/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
15/08	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puskas Academy win (55%). Probabilities: Puskas Academy 55%, draw 23%, MTK Budapest 22%.

How many goals are expected in Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Puskas Academy 2.07 · MTK Budapest 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.