Football · Slovakia Super Liga · 21/11, 18:00

Prediction: MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs FC Spartak Trnava

Team pages: MFK Zemplin Michalovce · FC Spartak Trnava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

MFK Zemplin Michalovce1.17

FC Spartak Trnava1.69

1X2

26% 26% 49%

MFK Zemplin Michalovce Draw FC Spartak Trnava

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Zemplin Michalovce 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWDLLL

FC Spartak Trnava 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWLDLW

Head-to-head

MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2–1–3 FC Spartak Trnava (6 last)

FC Spartak Trnava2-0MFK Zemplin Michalovce
FC Spartak Trnava3-0MFK Zemplin Michalovce
MFK Zemplin Michalovce1-0FC Spartak Trnava
MFK Zemplin Michalovce1-1FC Spartak Trnava
FC Spartak Trnava0-1MFK Zemplin Michalovce
FC Spartak Trnava3-1MFK Zemplin Michalovce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1518 · FC Spartak Trnava 1557

	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	Draw	FC Spartak Trnava
Our model	25%	26%	48%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Spartak Trnava: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	FC Spartak Trnava
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	5.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.70

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.72 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.75
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:56 +35’	3.60	3.70	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +6’	3.67	3.73	1.91
09:03 +11’	3.72▲	3.75▲	1.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Zemplin Michalovce 2–1–3 FC Spartak Trnava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Spartak Trnava	2-0 HT 0-0	MFK Zemplin Michalovce
18/04/26 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Spartak Trnava	3-0 HT 3-0	MFK Zemplin Michalovce
21/03/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Spartak Trnava
08/02/26 Slovakia Super Liga	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Spartak Trnava
21/09/25 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Spartak Trnava	0-1 HT 0-1	MFK Zemplin Michalovce
02/11/24 Slovakia Super Liga	FC Spartak Trnava	3-1 HT 0-1	MFK Zemplin Michalovce

Standings · Slovakia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dunajska Streda	14	12	2	0	42	9	38
2	Slovan Bratislava	14	8	4	2	32	15	28
3	MSK Zilina	14	8	4	2	37	27	28
4	FC Spartak Trnava	14	7	4	3	28	18	25
5	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	14	6	2	6	23	24	20
6	FC Kosice	14	4	6	4	32	26	18
7	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	14	4	2	8	12	25	14
8	Dukla Banska Bystrica	14	4	2	8	14	27	14
9	KFC Komarno	14	2	7	5	13	17	13
10	MFK Ruzomberok	14	3	3	8	13	29	12
11	AS Trencin	14	2	4	8	14	30	10
12	MFK Skalica	14	2	4	8	15	28	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Zemplin Michalovce	FC Spartak Trnava
KFC Komarno	0-2 L	1-2 L
MSK Zilina	1-4 L	1-3 L
FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova	1-4 L	3-1 W
FC Kosice	1-1 D	5-2 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-0 W	2-1 W
MFK Ruzomberok	0-3 L	1-1 D
AS Trencin	3-1 W	4-0 W
Slovan Bratislava	2-1 W	0-3 L
MFK Skalica	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Spartak Trnava (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Zemplin Michalovce

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
31/10	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-4	1	4	L
24/10	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-4	5	7	L
18/10	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
19/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
12/09	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
05/09	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
30/08	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
22/08	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
16/08	FC Spartak Trnava Slovakia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	2	7	L

FC Spartak Trnava

WLDWDWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
31/10	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
24/10	MFK Skalica Slovakia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
17/10	Slovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	3	6	L
11/10	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Slovakia Super Liga	2-0	3-1	4	11	W
20/09	Dunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
12/09	FC Kosice Slovakia Super Liga	2-1	5-2	1	6	W
06/09	MFK Ruzomberok Slovakia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	4	9	D
30/08	MSK Zilina Slovakia Super Liga	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
23/08	AS Trencin Slovakia Super Liga	1-0	4-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs FC Spartak Trnava?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Spartak Trnava win (49%). Probabilities: MFK Zemplin Michalovce 26%, draw 26%, FC Spartak Trnava 49%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs FC Spartak Trnava?

The model expects 2.86 goals (MFK Zemplin Michalovce 1.17 · FC Spartak Trnava 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Zemplin Michalovce vs FC Spartak Trnava?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.