Football · England League 2 · 21/11, 16:00
Prediction: Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury
Team pages: Chesterfield · Shrewsbury
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Chesterfield2.19
Shrewsbury1.19
1X2
Chesterfield
Draw
Shrewsbury
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Chesterfield
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Shrewsbury
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chesterfield
3–1–2
Shrewsbury
(6 last)
- Chesterfield2-3Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury0-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield1-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury2-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield7-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury1-2Chesterfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chesterfield 1554 · Shrewsbury 1530
| Chesterfield | Draw | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chesterfield: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chesterfield | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.3 | 3.2 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chesterfield 3–1–2 Shrewsbury
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Shrewsbury |
| 20/12/25 England League 2 | Shrewsbury | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 11/03/17 England League 1 | Chesterfield | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Shrewsbury |
| 20/08/16 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chesterfield |
| 02/01/16 England League 1 | Chesterfield | 7-1 HT 3-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 18/08/15 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 32 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 23 |
| 4 | York | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 23 |
| 5 | Crewe | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 8 | Exeter | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 | Cheltenham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
| 13 | Accrington Stanley | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 15 | Tranmere | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 16 | Swindon | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 19 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 18 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 25 | 16 |
| 19 | Northampton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 15 |
| 20 | Oldham | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 15 |
| 21 | Colchester | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chesterfield | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Crewe | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Colchester | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Crawley Town | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Oldham | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chesterfield (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 30/10 | Newport County England League 2 |
0-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Crewe England League 2 |
5-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 20/10 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Port Vale England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 4-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | York England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Shrewsbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/10 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Rotherham England League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 20/10 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chesterfield win (59%). Probabilities: Chesterfield 59%, draw 23%, Shrewsbury 18%.
How many goals are expected in Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
The model expects 3.38 goals (Chesterfield 2.19 · Shrewsbury 1.19), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.