Football · Japan J-League · 20/11, 11:00

Prediction: Kashima Antlers vs Shimizu S-Pulse

Team pages: Kashima Antlers · Shimizu S-Pulse

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Kashima Antlers1.97

Shimizu S-Pulse1.13

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Kashima Antlers Draw Shimizu S-Pulse

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kashima Antlers 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWDLWL

Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWWDLLLL

Head-to-head

Kashima Antlers 5–1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse (6 last)

Shimizu S-Pulse1-1Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers1-0Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse0-1Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers2-1Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse0-4Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers2-1Shimizu S-Pulse

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kashima Antlers (rating 1534 vs 1463).
H2H favours Kashima Antlers: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kashima Antlers	Shimizu S-Pulse
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.52.01

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.55
X	4.23 → 4.23	Pinn 4.23
2	5.85 → 5.85	Pinn 5.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +9’	1.55	4.23	5.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kashima Antlers 5–1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/08/25 Japan J-League	Shimizu S-Pulse	1-1 HT 1-0	Kashima Antlers
17/05/25 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	1-0 HT 1-0	Shimizu S-Pulse
29/10/22 Japan J-League	Shimizu S-Pulse	0-1 HT 0-0	Kashima Antlers
02/04/22 Japan J-League	Kashima Antlers	2-1 HT 0-0	Shimizu S-Pulse
25/08/21 Japan J-League	Shimizu S-Pulse	0-4 HT 0-2	Kashima Antlers
06/06/21 Japan J-League Cup	Kashima Antlers	2-1 HT 1-1	Shimizu S-Pulse

Standings · Japan J-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Tokyo	14	10	3	1	33	8	33
2	Kashiwa Reysol	14	10	1	3	31	20	31
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	14	9	3	2	32	10	30
4	Machida Zelvia	14	8	5	1	30	10	29
5	Vissel Kobe	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
6	Kashima Antlers	14	7	2	5	29	24	23
7	Yokohama F-Marinos	14	5	7	2	21	15	22
8	Kawasaki Frontale	14	6	4	4	28	24	22
9	Urawa Red Diamonds	14	7	1	6	23	29	22
10	Fagiano Okayama	14	5	2	7	16	22	17
11	Cerezo Osaka	14	4	5	5	16	25	17
12	Kyoto Sanga FC	14	4	4	6	19	23	16
13	Nagoya Grampus	14	4	2	8	15	23	14
14	Tokyo Verdy	14	3	5	6	12	22	14
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	14	4	2	8	10	23	14
16	V-Varen Nagasaki	14	3	4	7	17	22	13
17	JEF Utd Chiba	14	3	4	7	16	24	13
18	Gamba Osaka	14	2	6	6	16	24	12
19	Mito Hollyhock	14	2	3	9	12	26	9
20	Avispa Fukuoka	14	2	2	10	14	25	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kashima Antlers	Shimizu S-Pulse
FC Tokyo	0-2 L	1-1 D
Kyoto Sanga FC	2-2 D	0-2 L
Gamba Osaka	2-0 W	2-2 D
Kawasaki Frontale	3-3 D	1-3 L
Mito Hollyhock	2-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kashima Antlers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kashima Antlers

LLLDWWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
31/10	Cerezo Osaka Japan J-League	3-1	4-1	10	6	W
24/10	Kashiwa Reysol Japan J-League	1-2	2-3	9	1	L
21/10	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
17/10	V-Varen Nagasaki Japan J-League	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
09/10	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
19/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	1-1	3-3	2	4	D
11/09	Vissel Kobe Japan J-League	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
06/09	Urawa Red Diamonds Japan J-League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
02/09	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-2	2-4	4	2	L

Shimizu S-Pulse

DLWWWDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Tokyo Verdy Japan J-League	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
31/10	Kyoto Sanga FC Japan J-League	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
24/10	Sanfrecce Hiroshima Japan J-League	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
21/10	Machida Zelvia Japan J-League	0-1	0-5	4	3	L
17/10	Gamba Osaka Japan J-League	2-0	2-2	7	3	D
11/10	Mito Hollyhock Japan J-League	0-0	2-1	1	3	W
19/09	JEF Utd Chiba Japan J-League	0-1	2-1	8	2	W
12/09	Avispa Fukuoka Japan J-League	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
06/09	Kawasaki Frontale Japan J-League	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
02/09	FC Tokyo Japan J-League	0-0	1-1	4	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kashima Antlers vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kashima Antlers win (56%). Probabilities: Kashima Antlers 56%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-Pulse 20%.

How many goals are expected in Kashima Antlers vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Kashima Antlers 1.97 · Shimizu S-Pulse 1.13), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kashima Antlers vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.