Football · USA MLS · 21/11, 22:00

Prediction: FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers

Team pages: FC Dallas · Portland Timbers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

FC Dallas1.85

Portland Timbers1.27

1X2

50% 24% 26%

FC Dallas Draw Portland Timbers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Dallas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWLDW

Portland Timbers 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Dallas 3–3–0 Portland Timbers (6 last)

FC Dallas2-1Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers2-2FC Dallas
Portland Timbers2-2FC Dallas
FC Dallas2-0Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers0-0FC Dallas
FC Dallas3-2Portland Timbers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Dallas 1530 · Portland Timbers 1514

	FC Dallas	Draw	Portland Timbers
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Dallas: 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Dallas	Portland Timbers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.9	1.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.90

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.90
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.08 ★
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:32 +2’	1.85	3.90	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +9’	1.94	3.99	3.53
09:04 +11’	1.90▼	4.08▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Dallas 3–3–0 Portland Timbers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 USA MLS	FC Dallas	2-1 HT 1-0	Portland Timbers
23/07/26 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Dallas
28/09/25 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Dallas
10/08/25 USA MLS	FC Dallas	2-0 HT 1-0	Portland Timbers
07/10/24 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Dallas
05/07/24 USA MLS	FC Dallas	3-2 HT 0-1	Portland Timbers

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	74	34	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	62	51	58
3	St. Louis City SC	34	15	9	10	59	48	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	57	51	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	43	43	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	52	40	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	62	61	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	44	46	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	53	52	45
10	Minnesota United	34	11	11	12	56	58	44
11	LA Galaxy	34	11	11	12	50	57	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	47	50	43
13	San Diego FC	34	9	11	14	57	63	38
14	Austin FC	34	8	10	16	42	65	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	40	81	26

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Dallas	Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids	3-1 W	0-0 D
Sporting Kansas City	1-1 D	3-3 D
San Jose Earthquakes	3-0 W	1-3 L
Houston Dynamo	2-2 D	3-1 W
Charlotte FC	2-3 L	3-2 W
Austin FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Dallas

WDWLWDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-0	3-1	6	2	W
31/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	1-1	1-1	7	7	D
29/10	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
25/10	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-0	3-0	6	2	W
18/10	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	1-0	2-2	5	9	D
15/10	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/10	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-0	2-3	3	2	L
27/09	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
20/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
13/09	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-0	2-1	7	1	W

Portland Timbers

LLLDLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
02/11	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
29/10	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	2-0	3-2	4	5	W
25/10	Charlotte FC USA MLS	2-1	3-2	9	2	W
18/10	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
15/10	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
11/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	2-1	3-3	1	1	D
27/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-3	1-3	9	3	L
20/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
13/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Dallas win (50%). Probabilities: FC Dallas 50%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

The model expects 3.12 goals (FC Dallas 1.85 · Portland Timbers 1.27), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.