Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 20/11, 20:00

Prediction: Helmond Sport vs FC Dordrecht

Team pages: Helmond Sport · FC Dordrecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

Helmond Sport2.02

FC Dordrecht1.74

1X2

44% 23% 33%

Helmond Sport Draw FC Dordrecht

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Helmond Sport 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Dordrecht 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Helmond Sport 0–1–5 FC Dordrecht (6 last)

FC Dordrecht3-0Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport1-2FC Dordrecht
Helmond Sport0-1FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht4-0Helmond Sport
FC Dordrecht2-0Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport1-1FC Dordrecht

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Dordrecht: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helmond Sport	FC Dordrecht
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.4	1.3 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.87

Under 31.88

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 3.00 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +20’	2.25	3.60	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:58	2.39	3.50	2.73
21:41 +3’	2.41▲	3.54▲	2.76▲
22:21 +12’	2.25▼	3.54	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Helmond Sport 0–1–5 FC Dordrecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	3-0 HT 0-0	Helmond Sport
24/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Dordrecht
08/02/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Dordrecht
10/11/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	4-0 HT 1-0	Helmond Sport
12/01/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	2-0 HT 1-0	Helmond Sport
23/10/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Dordrecht

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	15	12	2	1	46	16	38
2	Almere City FC	15	10	1	4	36	15	31
3	VVV	15	9	2	4	38	24	29
4	NAC	15	8	4	3	29	22	28
5	Roda JC	15	8	4	3	21	18	28
6	FC Emmen	15	8	1	6	28	30	25
7	FC Volendam	15	7	1	7	34	27	22
8	Maastricht	14	6	2	6	19	29	20
9	RKC	15	4	8	3	27	20	20
10	FC Den Bosch	15	5	4	6	24	26	19
11	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
12	AZ Reserves	14	5	2	7	33	31	17
13	PSV Reserves	14	4	5	5	18	22	17
14	Top Oss	15	5	2	8	22	24	17
15	Ajax Reserves	14	4	4	6	22	30	16
16	De Graafschap	14	4	3	7	18	29	15
17	FC Eindhoven	15	4	2	9	20	32	14
18	Helmond Sport	15	3	3	9	26	37	12
19	FC Dordrecht	15	3	3	9	19	36	12
20	FC Utrecht Reserves	14	3	2	9	23	34	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Helmond Sport	FC Dordrecht
FC Eindhoven	3-2 W	1-2 L
AZ Reserves	4-5 L	3-6 L
NAC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Top Oss	1-3 L	0-3 L
FC Den Bosch	1-2 L	1-1 D
PSV Reserves	3-1 W	1-0 W
VVV	4-2 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Helmond Sport (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helmond Sport

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-3	6	0	L
30/10	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	3-2	6	9	W
23/10	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-2	4-5	7	0	L
16/10	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
09/10	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-3	7	5	L
02/10	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	2-2	2	9	D
26/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
18/09	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-2	1	4	L
11/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-2	2	5	W

FC Dordrecht

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
02/11	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-3	7	2	L
24/10	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	2-4	9	5	L
19/10	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
09/10	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
03/10	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
25/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
18/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-3	3-6	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helmond Sport vs FC Dordrecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Helmond Sport win (44%). Probabilities: Helmond Sport 44%, draw 23%, FC Dordrecht 33%.

How many goals are expected in Helmond Sport vs FC Dordrecht?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Helmond Sport 2.02 · FC Dordrecht 1.74), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Helmond Sport vs FC Dordrecht?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.