Prediction: Hull vs Brighton
- Hull0-0Brighton
- Hull1-0Brighton
- Brighton1-0Hull
- Hull2-1Brighton
| Hull | Draw | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 25% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 22% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brighton (rating 1480 vs 1613).
- H2H favours Hull: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hull | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 2.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.1 | 2.3 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hull 2–1–1 Brighton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/16 England Championship | Hull | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brighton |
| 09/01/16 England FA Cup | Hull | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brighton |
| 12/09/15 England Championship | Brighton | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hull |
| 24/02/14 England FA Cup | Hull | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Brighton |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Man City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottm Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 18 | Man Utd | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hull | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Brentford | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Chelsea | 2-2 D | 3-4 L |
| Aston Villa | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Coventry | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brighton (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hull
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/10 | Ipswich England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | Brentford England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/10 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Chelsea England Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Coventry England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Man Utd England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Brighton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Brentford England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/10 | Man City England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Liverpool England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Sunderland England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hull vs Brighton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brighton win (61%). Probabilities: Hull 16%, draw 23%, Brighton 61%.
How many goals are expected in Hull vs Brighton?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Hull 0.79 · Brighton 1.81), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hull vs Brighton?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.