Football · Russia Division 1 · 21/11, 14:00

Prediction: Kamaz Nab Chelny vs FK Spartak Kostroma

Team pages: Kamaz Nab Chelny · FK Spartak Kostroma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Kamaz Nab Chelny1.53

FK Spartak Kostroma1.28

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Kamaz Nab Chelny Draw FK Spartak Kostroma

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kamaz Nab Chelny 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDWLDL

FK Spartak Kostroma 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLDLD

Head-to-head

Kamaz Nab Chelny 1–2–1 FK Spartak Kostroma (4 last)

FK Spartak Kostroma3-1Kamaz Nab Chelny
Kamaz Nab Chelny2-0FK Spartak Kostroma
FK Spartak Kostroma1-1Kamaz Nab Chelny
Kamaz Nab Chelny0-0FK Spartak Kostroma

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kamaz Nab Chelny	FK Spartak Kostroma
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 4.4	– / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	6.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.81

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:50

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.38
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.40
2	2.89 → 2.89	Pinn 2.89

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:42 +8’	2.38	3.40	2.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kamaz Nab Chelny 1–2–1 FK Spartak Kostroma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Russia Division 1	FK Spartak Kostroma	3-1 HT 1-0	Kamaz Nab Chelny
01/05/26 Russia Division 1	Kamaz Nab Chelny	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Spartak Kostroma
11/10/25 Russia Division 1	FK Spartak Kostroma	1-1 HT 1-1	Kamaz Nab Chelny
25/09/25 Russia Cup	Kamaz Nab Chelny	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Spartak Kostroma

Standings · Russia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	52	15	46
2	Torpedo Moscow	18	10	5	3	30	13	35
3	Ural	17	10	4	3	29	11	34
4	PFC Sochi	17	10	2	5	26	20	32
5	Veles	19	9	4	6	25	25	31
6	FK Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	22	20	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	22	18	26
8	FK Chelyabinsk	18	7	3	8	27	29	24
9	FC Ufa	17	5	7	5	19	17	22
10	FK Volga Ulyanovsk	19	6	4	9	22	26	22
11	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	24	19	21
12	SKA Energia Khabarovsk	18	5	4	9	24	28	19
13	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	20	35	19
14	FK Leningradets	18	4	6	8	16	28	18
15	FK Yenisey	17	4	5	8	19	33	17
16	Kamaz Nab Chelny	17	3	5	9	21	30	14
17	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	17	4	1	12	11	25	13
18	Tekstilshik Ivanovo	17	2	5	10	12	29	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kamaz Nab Chelny	FK Spartak Kostroma
Veles	1-2 L	1-1 D
Arsenal Tula	3-4 L	2-3 L
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2-1 W	1-0 W
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1-0 W	1-2 L
FK Chelyabinsk	1-1 D	1-0 W
Ural	0-2 L	1-2 L
FK Leningradets	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Spartak Kostroma (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kamaz Nab Chelny

LWLDWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	Veles Russia Division 1	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
01/11	Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
24/10	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	0-1	3-4	–	–	L
17/10	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	0-1	2-1	5	13	W
10/10	SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
18/09	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
14/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
06/09	Ural Russia Division 1	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
29/08	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/08	PFC Sochi Russia Division 1	2-1	2-3	3	5	L

FK Spartak Kostroma

WWWLLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/11	FC Ufa Russia Division 1	1-2	3-3	5	12	D
08/11	FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1	0-3	0-4	2	9	L
30/10	Veles Russia Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
26/10	Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1	1-2	1-2	3	8	L
17/10	FK Leningradets Russia Division 1	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
09/10	Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Ural Russia Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
18/09	FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
14/09	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
05/09	FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kamaz Nab Chelny vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kamaz Nab Chelny win (42%). Probabilities: Kamaz Nab Chelny 42%, draw 27%, FK Spartak Kostroma 31%.

How many goals are expected in Kamaz Nab Chelny vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Kamaz Nab Chelny 1.53 · FK Spartak Kostroma 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kamaz Nab Chelny vs FK Spartak Kostroma?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.