Football · South Korea K League 1 · 22/11, 06:00

Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju SK

Team pages: Gimcheon Sangmu FC · Jeju SK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.32

Jeju SK1.06

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Draw Jeju SK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDWLDLDW

Jeju SK 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLLLDD

Head-to-head

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–4–0 Jeju SK (6 last)

Jeju SK0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-1Jeju SK
Jeju SK1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC3-1Jeju SK
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-1Jeju SK
Jeju SK2-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Jeju SK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.6	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.56 → 2.56	Pinn 2.56
X	3.41 → 3.41	Pinn 3.41
2	2.76 → 2.76	Pinn 2.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:10 +1’	2.56	3.41	2.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–4–0 Jeju SK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 South Korea K League 1	Jeju SK	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
05/07/26 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Jeju SK
18/04/26 South Korea K League 1	Jeju SK	1-1 HT 0-1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
26/07/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	3-1 HT 0-0	Jeju SK
17/05/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Jeju SK
22/02/25 South Korea K League 1	Jeju SK	2-3 HT 1-0	Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Standings · South Korea K League 1 · K-League 1 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jeju SK	35	12	12	11	41	39	48
2	FC Anyang	35	11	13	11	42	50	46
3	Pohang Steelers	35	11	11	13	33	42	44
4	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	35	6	20	9	35	42	38
5	Bucheon	35	7	12	16	35	51	33
6	Gwangju FC	35	3	14	18	32	71	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Jeju SK
Gwangju FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Daejeon Hana Citizen	1-2 L	3-1 W
FC Seoul	2-2 D	1-2 L
Bucheon	2-0 W	2-2 D
Gangwon FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Pohang Steelers	0-0 D	1-1 D
Ulsan HD	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jeju SK (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

LDDDWLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
31/10	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
24/10	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
18/10	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
10/10	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
19/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	6	1	W
13/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
09/09	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
06/09	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-2	4	1	D
29/08	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-3	12	3	L

Jeju SK

WDWDWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
01/11	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
24/10	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-3	0	9	L
18/10	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	1-1	2-3	5	4	L
10/10	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
20/09	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
12/09	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
09/09	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
05/09	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
30/08	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju SK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimcheon Sangmu FC win (41%). Probabilities: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41%, draw 30%, Jeju SK 29%.

How many goals are expected in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju SK?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.32 · Jeju SK 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Jeju SK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.