Football · Russia Premier League · 22/11, 14:30
Prediction: Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow
Team pages: Dynamo Makhachkala · Spartak Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Dynamo Makhachkala1.02
Spartak Moscow1.65
1X2
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw
Spartak Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dynamo Makhachkala
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Spartak Moscow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dynamo Makhachkala
1–2–3
Spartak Moscow
(6 last)
- Dynamo Makhachkala0-0Spartak Moscow
- Dynamo Makhachkala1-3Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow1-1Dynamo Makhachkala
- Spartak Moscow1-0Dynamo Makhachkala
- Spartak Moscow1-2Dynamo Makhachkala
- Dynamo Makhachkala0-1Spartak Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1420 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.8 | – / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dynamo Makhachkala 1–2–3 Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Russia Premier League | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 21/10/25 Russia Cup | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 12/08/25 Russia Cup | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 19/07/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 11/04/25 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Dynamo Makhachkala |
| 22/10/24 Russia Cup | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 29 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Rostov | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 14 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 12 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dynamo Makhachkala | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Orenburg | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dynamo Makhachkala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 25/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/09 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 23/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Moscow win (51%). Probabilities: Dynamo Makhachkala 22%, draw 27%, Spartak Moscow 51%.
How many goals are expected in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Dynamo Makhachkala 1.02 · Spartak Moscow 1.65), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moscow?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.