Football · Spain La Liga · 23/11, 21:00

Prediction: Levante vs Elche

Team pages: Levante · Elche

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Levante1.81

Elche1.49

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Levante Draw Elche

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Levante 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDDWLL

Elche 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWDDWL

Head-to-head

Levante 4–1–1 Elche (6 last)

Levante3-2Elche
Elche2-0Levante
Elche1-3Levante
Levante1-1Elche
Elche0-1Levante
Levante3-2Elche

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Levante 1498 · Elche 1470

	Levante	Draw	Elche
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Levante: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Levante	Elche
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	1.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.83 ★
2	3.25 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +2’	2.10	3.50	3.25
05:12 +5’	2.15▲	3.50	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +14’	2.10	3.80	3.12
16:34 +5’	2.12▲	3.85▲	3.15▲
21:39	2.20▲	3.83▼	3.01▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Levante 4–1–1 Elche

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Spain La Liga	Levante	3-2 HT 0-1	Elche
29/08/25 Spain La Liga	Elche	2-0 HT 0-0	Levante
10/05/25 Spain Segunda	Elche	1-3 HT 0-2	Levante
16/11/24 Spain Segunda	Levante	1-1 HT 0-1	Elche
10/08/24 Europe Friendlies	Elche	0-1 HT 0-1	Levante
24/03/24 Spain Segunda	Levante	3-2 HT 0-1	Elche

Standings · Spain La Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46	12	30
2	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22	8	28
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	28	10	27
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18	15	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20	20	19
6	Sevilla	11	5	2	4	17	19	17
7	Athletic Bilbao	10	4	3	3	14	10	15
8	Deportivo A Coruna	11	3	5	3	15	14	14
9	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15	15	12
10	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10	10	12
11	CD Alaves	11	3	3	5	15	17	12
12	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15	20	12
13	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8	16	12
14	Espanyol	11	3	2	6	13	14	11
15	Osasuna	11	3	2	6	11	22	11
16	Racing Santander	11	3	2	6	15	29	11
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14	18	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16	21	10
19	Valencia	11	2	3	6	8	17	9
20	Malaga	11	0	5	6	8	21	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Levante	Elche
Real Sociedad	1-2 L	2-3 L
Athletic Bilbao	3-1 W	1-1 D
Villarreal	1-3 L	0-0 D
Barcelona	2-4 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Levante (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Levante

DWDLLDDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
25/10	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	1-2	1-2	3	4	L
21/10	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
16/10	Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
12/10	Sevilla Spain La Liga	0-1	3-3	5	8	D
20/09	Villarreal Spain La Liga	1-1	1-3	1	2	L
13/09	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-2	2-4	3	2	L
06/09	Malaga Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
29/08	Real Betis Spain La Liga	2-2	5-2	5	2	W
24/08	Osasuna Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Elche

LLLDLWDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
24/10	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
17/10	Villarreal Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
11/10	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
18/09	Espanyol Spain La Liga	2-0	3-1	3	5	W
15/09	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-2	2-3	2	6	L
12/09	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
07/09	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
28/08	Racing Santander Spain La Liga	0-3	2-3	10	3	L
23/08	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-2	0-5	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Levante vs Elche?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Levante win (44%). Probabilities: Levante 44%, draw 26%, Elche 30%.

How many goals are expected in Levante vs Elche?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Levante 1.81 · Elche 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Levante vs Elche?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.