Prediction: Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir
Team pages: Arbroath · Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir1-0Arbroath
- Arbroath4-0Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir2-0Arbroath
- Arbroath1-0Stenhousemuir
- Stenhousemuir2-1Arbroath
- Arbroath0-2Stenhousemuir
| Arbroath | Draw | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Stenhousemuir: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arbroath | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arbroath 2–0–4 Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Scotland Championship | Stenhousemuir | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Arbroath |
| 12/04/25 Scotland League One | Arbroath | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 22/02/25 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Arbroath |
| 02/11/24 Scotland League One | Arbroath | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stenhousemuir |
| 03/08/24 Scotland League One | Stenhousemuir | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Arbroath |
| 09/03/19 Scotland League One | Arbroath | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Stenhousemuir |
Standings · Scotland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Raith | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Livingston | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arbroath | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| Ayr | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Raith | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Livingston | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Inverness CT | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Morton | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Partick | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Queen's Park | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Dunfermline | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Arbroath (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arbroath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/10 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/09 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Stenhousemuir Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Stenhousemuir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Queen's Park Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/11 | Morton Scotland Championship |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/10 | Livingston Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/10 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Raith Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Inverness CT Scotland Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | Ayr Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Arbroath Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arbroath win (38%). Probabilities: Arbroath 38%, draw 29%, Stenhousemuir 33%.
How many goals are expected in Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Arbroath 1.24 · Stenhousemuir 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.