Tennis · US Open · 25/08, 17:00

Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris

Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Lloyd Harris

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Bernard Tomic Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWWLL
Lloyd Harris 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWWWL
Head-to-head
Bernard Tomic 1–0 Lloyd Harris (1 last)
  • 26 Sept2-1 16-18W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1621 · Lloyd Harris 1631
Bernard TomicLloyd Harris
Our model49%51%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 62.5% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 1–0 Lloyd Harris (1).

Statistics

Bernard TomicLloyd Harris
Win %90%90%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 90% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.71.8-0.4
Games (G-P)14.1-11.313.3-9.2
Aces88.1
Double faults3.61.8
1st serve %72.4%77.6%
Break %39%62.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

H2H · Bernard Tomic 10 Lloyd Harris (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 10 Lloyd Harris

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DateSetsGamesRes.
26/09/18
ATP Chengdu
2-116-18W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bernard Tomic

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Edward Winter
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
31/07 Cameron Norrie
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
30/07 Karen Khachanov
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Alex Hernandez
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
26/07 Miguel Tobon
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
20/07 Mark Lajal
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-1 18-18 W
19/07 Spencer Johnson
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
18/07 Matthew Forbes
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/07 James McCabe
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
15/07 Darwin Blanch
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-1 18-14 W

Lloyd Harris

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
22/08 Vit Kopriva
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
20/08 Darwin Blanch
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/08 Laslo Djere
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/08 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
15/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
14/08 Harry Wendelken
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
14/08 Mees Rottgering
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
12/08 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harris?

Our model gives 61% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.