Prediction: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea
Team pages: Zachary Svajda · Arthur Gea
Prediction summary
Winner
Zachary Svajda
Arthur Gea
Estimated games
24.2Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zachary Svajda
4-6 (W-L)
Arthur Gea
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zachary Svajda 1500 · Arthur Gea 1583
| Zachary Svajda | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Gea (rating 1500 vs 1583).
- Zachary Svajda dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Arthur Gea is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Zachary Svajda | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-13 | 14.2-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -16.3
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zachary Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Daniel Altmaier US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Stefan Kozlov ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 30/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Arthur Gea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 23-19 | W |
| 28/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Clement Chidekh US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Sumit Nagal US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea?
Our model gives 54% to Arthur Gea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.