Tennis · US Open · 04/09, 17:00

Prediction: Bu Yunchaokete vs Michael Zheng

Team pages: Bu Yunchaokete · Michael Zheng

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Bu Yunchaokete Michael Zheng
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bu Yunchaokete 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWW
Michael Zheng 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWLW
Head-to-head
Bu Yunchaokete 1–0 Michael Zheng (1 last)
  • 24 Jul2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bu Yunchaokete 1535 · Michael Zheng 1554
Bu YunchaoketeMichael Zheng
Our model47%53%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Bu Yunchaokete 1–0 Michael Zheng (1).

Statistics

Bu YunchaoketeMichael Zheng
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.7-0.9
Games (G-P)12.9-11.213.3-10.9
Aces5.65.1
Double faults3.63.6
1st serve %78%76.1%
Break %56.1%49.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -16.4
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

H2H · Bu Yunchaokete 10 Michael Zheng (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bu Yunchaokete 10 Michael Zheng

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/07/24
Challenger Chicago
2-012-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bu Yunchaokete

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Rafael Jodar
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-4 W
28/08 Federico Cina
US Open · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
26/08 Borna Gojo
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
25/08 Rio Noguchi
US Open · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
18/08 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
13/08 Quentin Halys
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/08 Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
19/07 Mark Lajal
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
18/07 Colton Smith
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
17/07 Yibing Wu
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Michael Zheng

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Fabian Marozsan
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-10 W
18/08 Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/08 Ugo Humbert
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/08 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
13/08 Trevor Svajda
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
12/08 Moez Echargui
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
04/08 Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
01/08 Kei Nishikori
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Arthur Gea
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
1-2 10-12 L
29/07 Martin Landaluce
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bu Yunchaokete vs Michael Zheng?

Our model gives 60% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.