Tennis · US Open · 03/09, 17:00

Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys

Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Quentin Halys

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Alexander Zverev Quentin Halys
Estimated games
28.9Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWW
Quentin Halys 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Alexander Zverev 2–0 Quentin Halys (2 last)
  • 29 May3-1 23-16W
  • 25 Mar2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1565 · Quentin Halys 1541
Alexander ZverevQuentin Halys
Our model53%47%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 12.6 aces and 40.4% break avg.
  • Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 11.2 aces and 49.3% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Alexander Zverev 2–0 Quentin Halys (2).
  • Note: Alexander Zverev makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Alexander ZverevQuentin Halys
Win %70%80%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)2.2-1.11.9-0.6
Games (G-P)18.5-16.514.9-11.5
Aces12.611.2
Double faults4.23.1
1st serve %77.7%81.6%
Break %40.4%49.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 28.9 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -9.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

H2H · Alexander Zverev 20 Quentin Halys (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Zverev 20 Quentin Halys

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DateSetsGamesRes.
29/05/26
French Open
3-123-16W
25/03/26
ATP Miami
2-014-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Zverev

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Lorenzo Sonego
US Open · Hard
3-2 28-26 W
19/08 Tommy Paul
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
18/08 Terence Atmane
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
16/08 Cameron Norrie
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
05/08 Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
12/07 Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 20-25 L
10/07 Arthur Fery
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-12 W
08/07 Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-10 W
07/07 Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 23-21 W
04/07 Marcos Giron
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-12 W

Quentin Halys

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Facundo Diaz Acosta
US Open · Hard
3-1 25-17 W
25/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
15/08 Alex De Minaur
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
14/08 Vit Kopriva
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
13/08 Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
11/08 Soonwoo Kwon
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
25/07 Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
24/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Mariano Navone
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/07 Valentin Vacherot
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys?

Our model gives 69% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.