Tennis · WTA Toronto · 01/08, 21:00
Prediction: Alina Korneeva vs Mary Stoiana
Team pages: Alina Korneeva · Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Korneeva
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Korneeva
6-4 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Korneeva 1547 · Mary Stoiana 1509
| Alina Korneeva | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alina Korneeva | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.5 | 12.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.9
Over 21.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 37% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Korneeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Martyna Kubka WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Fangran Tian WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Julieta Pareja W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Katrina Scott WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Kayla Cross Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Korneeva vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 59% to Alina Korneeva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.